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WK 8 · 2026KICK FRI, OCT 23 7:00 PM ETOPENER CAPTURED FRI 12:32 PM ET
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Week 8 · 2026 season

Duke @ Virginia

No qualified market signals were published. An informational ATS opinion may appear with the current line.

The verdict

FRI, OCT 23 · 7:00 PM ET · SCOTT STADIUM
Duke4-264%
Virginia4-336%
DUKENATL RANKUVA
49th
Model Overall
40th
16th
Model Offense
88th
102nd
Model Defense
14th
-0.0
Pace
3.5
17%
Returning PPA
10%

Color marks the better value in each row.

Open total53.5
Model total51.4

Market cadence

Line movement

Latest: Duke +2.5 · No signal

0+1+2+3+4+5+6+7+8Open5:03 PMTue11:03 AMWed11:04 AMThu11:03 AMFri11:03 AMSatNo data
  • Edge
  • Lean
  • No signal

Fri, Oct 23, 11:03:33 AM ET

Duke line
+2.5
Producer tier
No signal
  • Fri, Sep 4, 5:03:41 PM ET; Duke line +6.5; producer tier No signal
  • Tue, Oct 20, 11:03:15 AM ET; Duke line +1.5; producer tier No signal
  • Wed, Oct 21, 11:04:05 AM ET; Duke line +1.5; producer tier No signal
  • Thu, Oct 22, 11:03:59 AM ET; Duke line +1.75; producer tier No signal
  • Fri, Oct 23, 11:03:33 AM ET; Duke line +2.5; producer tier No signal
  • Sat: no capture.

RATINGS AS OF: DUKE wk 8 · UVA wk 8

Model margin
Duke by 3.30
Opening line
Duke +6.5
Latest line
Duke +2.5
Close total
46.8
ATS
Duke +2.5
Where these numbers come from

One model scores every FBS game: a win probability, a projected margin, and a projected total, built from as-of team ratings (offense, defense, pace, returning production, recruiting). Ratings on this page are snapshots from the week shown, with zero future information baked in.

Leans and Edges use the exact lines published before kickoff. Every published pick is graded.

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