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WK 8 · 2026KICK SAT, OCT 24 5:00 PM ETOPENER CAPTURED TUE 11:03 AM ET

Week 8 · 2026 season

San José State @ Nevada

Published signal: OVER 46.5 · EDGE.

The verdict

SAT, OCT 24 · 5:00 PM ET · MACKAY STADIUM
San José State4-319%
Nevada2-481%
SJSUNATL RANKNEV
105th
Model Overall
109th
103rd
Model Offense
118th
108th
Model Defense
98th
-1.2
Pace
-5.8
4%
Returning PPA
36%

Color marks the better value in each row.

Open total45.8
Model total50.0
OVER 46.5 · EDGE

Market cadence

Line movement

Latest: San José State +6.75 · No signal

+4+5+6+7+8Open11:03 AMTue11:03 AMWed11:04 AMThu11:03 AMFri11:03 AMSatNo data
  • Edge
  • Lean
  • No signal

Fri, Oct 23, 11:03:33 AM ET

San José State line
+6.75
Producer tier
No signal
  • Tue, Oct 20, 11:03:15 AM ET; San José State line +5.25; producer tier EDGE
  • Tue, Oct 20, 11:03:15 AM ET; San José State line +5.25; producer tier EDGE
  • Wed, Oct 21, 11:04:05 AM ET; San José State line +5.25; producer tier EDGE
  • Thu, Oct 22, 11:03:59 AM ET; San José State line +6.25; producer tier No signal
  • Fri, Oct 23, 11:03:33 AM ET; San José State line +6.75; producer tier No signal
  • Sat: no capture.

RATINGS AS OF: SJSU wk 8 · NEV wk 8

Model margin
Nevada by 12.77
Opening line
San José State +5.25
Latest line
San José State +6.75
Close total
46.5
ATS
Nevada -6.75
Total pick
OVER 46.5 · EDGE
Where these numbers come from

One model scores every FBS game: a win probability, a projected margin, and a projected total, built from as-of team ratings (offense, defense, pace, returning production, recruiting). Ratings on this page are snapshots from the week shown, with zero future information baked in.

Leans and Edges use the exact lines published before kickoff. Every published pick is graded.

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