Published signals: IOWA -7 · EDGE; OVER 40.5 · LEAN.
The verdict
SAT, OCT 24 · 3:30 PM ET · HUNTINGTON BANK STADIUM
Iowa5-177%
Minnesota4-223%
IOWANATL RANKMINN
16th
Model Overall
81st
46th
Model Offense
73rd
8th
Model Defense
82nd
-6.9
Pace
-7.2
34%
Returning PPA
65%
Color marks the better value in each row.
Open total42.5
Model total48.0
IOWA -7 · EDGEOVER 40.5 · LEAN
Market cadence
Line movement
Latest: Iowa -7.0 · EDGE
◆Edge
▲Lean
○No signal
Fri, Oct 23, 11:03:33 AM ET
Iowa line
-7.0
Producer tier
EDGE
Thu, Oct 15, 11:02:56 AM ET; Iowa line -4.5; producer tier No signal
Tue, Oct 20, 11:03:15 AM ET; Iowa line -7.0; producer tier EDGE
Wed, Oct 21, 11:04:05 AM ET; Iowa line -6.5; producer tier EDGE
Thu, Oct 22, 11:03:59 AM ET; Iowa line -6.5; producer tier EDGE
Fri, Oct 23, 11:03:33 AM ET; Iowa line -7.0; producer tier EDGE
Sat: no capture.
RATINGS AS OF: IOWA wk 8 · MINN wk 8
Model margin
Iowa by 11.27
Opening line
Iowa -4.5
Latest line
Iowa -7
Close total
40.5
ATS
IOWA -7 · EDGE
Total pick
OVER 40.5 · LEAN
Where these numbers come from
One model scores every FBS game: a win probability, a projected margin, and a projected total, built from as-of team ratings (offense, defense, pace, returning production, recruiting). Ratings on this page are snapshots from the week shown, with zero future information baked in.
Leans and Edges use the exact lines published before kickoff. Every published pick is graded.
