APP STATE +11.75 · EDGE win. The full grades are below.
The verdict
THU, OCT 22 · FINAL · KIDD BREWER STADIUM
James Madison7-077%
App State4-223%
JMUNATL RANKAPP
18th
Model Overall
123rd
27th
Model Offense
120th
24th
Model Defense
116th
0.9
Pace
0.8
8%
Returning PPA
38%
Color marks the better value in each row.
Open total56.5
Model total52.9
APP STATE +11.75 · EDGE WIN
Market cadence
Line movement
Latest: James Madison -11.75 · EDGE
◆Edge
▲Lean
○No signal
Thu, Oct 22, 11:03:59 AM ET
James Madison line
-11.75
Producer tier
EDGE
Tue, Oct 20, 11:03:15 AM ET; James Madison line -10.75; producer tier No signal
Tue, Oct 20, 11:03:15 AM ET; James Madison line -10.5; producer tier No signal
Wed, Oct 21, 11:04:05 AM ET; James Madison line -10.5; producer tier No signal
Thu, Oct 22, 11:03:59 AM ET; James Madison line -11.75; producer tier EDGE
Fri: no capture.
Sat: no capture.
RATINGS AS OF: JMU wk 8 · APP wk 8
Model margin
James Madison by 9.70
Opening line
James Madison -10.75
Latest line
James Madison -12.75
Close total
56.5
Graded model opinions
Every published Lean and Edge grades against its locked selected line. ATS and total results remain independent.
JMU31
FINALKidd Brewer Stadium
APP34
WinJames MadisonWIN MISS
ATSAPP STATE +11.75 · EDGEEDGE HIT
Where these numbers come from
One model scores every FBS game: a win probability, a projected margin, and a projected total, built from as-of team ratings (offense, defense, pace, returning production, recruiting). Ratings on this page are snapshots from the week shown, with zero future information baked in.
Leans and Edges use the exact lines published before kickoff. Every published pick is graded.
