Downfield DataGamesGet the board
WK 8 · 2026KICK SAT, OCT 24 3:30 PM ETOPENER CAPTURED THU 11:02 AM ET

Week 8 · 2026 season

AP rank 2BYU @ UCF

Published signal: OVER 43.5 · EDGE.

The verdict

SAT, OCT 24 · 3:30 PM ET · FBC MORTGAGE STADIUM
BYU6-078%
UCF3-322%
BYUNATL RANKUCF
22nd
Model Overall
78th
24th
Model Offense
83rd
32nd
Model Defense
60th
-1.8
Pace
-2.6
79%
Returning PPA
25%

Color marks the better value in each row.

Open total45.5
Model total47.7
OVER 43.5 · EDGE

Market cadence

Line movement

Latest: BYU -7.0 · No signal

-11-10-9-8-7-6-5Open11:02 AMTue11:03 AMWed11:04 AMThu11:03 AMFri11:03 AMSatNo data
  • Edge
  • Lean
  • No signal

Fri, Oct 23, 11:03:33 AM ET

BYU line
-7.0
Producer tier
No signal
  • Thu, Oct 15, 11:02:56 AM ET; BYU line -9.5; producer tier No signal
  • Tue, Oct 20, 11:03:15 AM ET; BYU line -6.5; producer tier No signal
  • Wed, Oct 21, 11:04:05 AM ET; BYU line -6.5; producer tier No signal
  • Thu, Oct 22, 11:03:59 AM ET; BYU line -6.5; producer tier No signal
  • Fri, Oct 23, 11:03:33 AM ET; BYU line -7.0; producer tier No signal
  • Sat: no capture.

RATINGS AS OF: BYU wk 8 · UCF wk 8

Model margin
BYU by 8.05
Opening line
BYU -9.5
Latest line
BYU -7
Close total
43.5
ATS
BYU -7
Total pick
OVER 43.5 · EDGE
Where these numbers come from

One model scores every FBS game: a win probability, a projected margin, and a projected total, built from as-of team ratings (offense, defense, pace, returning production, recruiting). Ratings on this page are snapshots from the week shown, with zero future information baked in.

Leans and Edges use the exact lines published before kickoff. Every published pick is graded.

Back to the week 8 board