The Board

Every game on the slate gets a win probability, a margin, and a total. Cyan rows cleared the 3-point bar against the opening total; those carry the only badge we sell. The rest of the board is the model showing its work.

60Games modeled

24Edges badged

36Passes

Matchups read Away @ Home. Open every game for the full model read: win probability, paired team ratings, and the grade once it goes final.

Tuesday, Oct 14

OPENERS CAPTURED WED 3:46 PM ET

Tuesday, Oct 14 games: opening total, model total, and edge. Cyan-washed rows with a printed lean are badged totals edges.
Game	Open	Model	Edge
Florida International @ Western Kentucky8:00 PM ET · FINAL	56.5	52.9	-3.6UNDER

Wednesday, Oct 15

Wednesday, Oct 15 games: opening total, model total, and edge. Cyan-washed rows with a printed lean are badged totals edges.
Game	Open	Model	Edge
UTEP @ Sam Houston7:00 PM ET · FINAL	47.5	51.3	+3.8OVER

Friday, Oct 17

Friday, Oct 17 games: opening total, model total, and edge. Cyan-washed rows with a printed lean are badged totals edges.
Game	Open	Model	Edge
San José State @ Utah State9:00 PM ET · FINAL	58.8	62.4	+3.6OVER

Saturday, Oct 18

Saturday, Oct 18 games: opening total, model total, and edge. Cyan-washed rows with a printed lean are badged totals edges.
Game	Open	Model	Edge
LSU @ Vanderbilt12:00 PM ET · FINAL	49.0	52.3	+3.3OVER
Georgia Tech @ Duke12:00 PM ET · FINAL	60.8	55.7	-5.1UNDER
Baylor @ TCU12:00 PM ET · FINAL	66.5	63.1	-3.4UNDER
Army @ Tulane12:00 PM ET · FINAL	46.5	53.1	+6.6OVER
Central Michigan @ Bowling Green12:00 PM ET · FINAL	43.5	47.1	+3.6OVER
Oklahoma @ South Carolina12:45 PM ET · FINAL	42.5	49.2	+6.7OVER
West Virginia @ UCF1:00 PM ET · FINAL	49.0	52.5	+3.5OVER
Buffalo @ Massachusetts2:30 PM ET · FINAL	45.0	49.6	+4.6OVER
Troy @ UL Monroe3:00 PM ET · FINAL	46.5	50.8	+4.3OVER
Texas State @ Marshall3:30 PM ET · FINAL	64.8	61.0	-3.7UNDER
Wyoming @ Air Force3:30 PM ET · FINAL	58.5	62.0	+3.5OVER
Michigan State @ Indiana3:30 PM ET · FINAL	53.0	56.7	+3.7OVER
UNLV @ Boise State3:30 PM ET · FINAL	63.0	57.5	-5.5UNDER
Northern Illinois @ Ohio3:30 PM ET · FINAL	43.5	46.7	+3.2OVER
Temple @ Charlotte3:30 PM ET · FINAL	47.0	52.5	+5.5OVER
Ohio State @ Wisconsin3:30 PM ET · FINAL	41.3	48.6	+7.3OVER
Akron @ Ball State3:30 PM ET · FINAL	43.5	49.8	+6.3OVER
Memphis @ UAB4:00 PM ET · FINAL	64.5	55.1	-9.4UNDER
Texas @ Kentucky7:00 PM ET · FINAL	43.5	51.1	+7.6OVER
Florida Atlantic @ South Florida7:30 PM ET · FINAL	73.8	63.0	-10.8UNDER
Cincinnati @ Oklahoma State8:00 PM ET · FINAL	57.8	53.4	-4.3UNDER

Model totals vs the openers. The badge needs 3 points of daylight; win and spread numbers ride along unbadged.