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WK 8 · 2025FINALOPENER CAPTURED WED 3:46 PM ET

Week 8 · 2025 season

Cincinnati @ Oklahoma State

The UNDER 57.8 missed. The full grade is below.

The verdict

SAT, OCT 18 · FINAL · BOONE PICKENS STADIUM
Cincinnati7-692%
Oklahoma State1-118%
CINNATL RANKOKST
0.2no rank
Overall rating
no rank-0.0
0.3no rank
Offense rating
no rank0.0
-0.1no rank
Defense rating
no rank-0.1
-7.1no rank
Pace
no rank-3.3
79%no rank
Returning PPA
no rank45%
#3737th
Power rank
111th#111
#6161st
Recruiting rank
53rd#53

Cell color follows national rank:top 4091st or worse.

Open total57.8
Model total53.4
EDGE UNDER 57.8 · MISS

RATINGS AS OF: CIN wk 17 · OKST wk 17 · RANKS PRINTED IN EVERY TINTED CELL

Model margin (home)
-19.1
Open spread
+20.5
Close spread
+23.5
Close total
57.5

Graded, all four markets

Every market grades against the close. The edge is the only one we badge as a pick; the other three ride along for calibration.

CIN49
FINALBoone Pickens Stadium
OKST17
  • WinCincinnatiWIN HIT
  • ATSOklahoma StateATS MISS
  • TotalsUNDER 57.5TOTAL MISS
  • EdgeUNDER 57.8EDGE MISS
Where these numbers come from

One model scores every FBS game: a win probability, a projected margin, and a projected total, built from as-of team ratings (offense, defense, pace, returning production, recruiting). Ratings on this page are snapshots from the week shown, with zero future information baked in.

The totals edge compares the model's total to the opening number. A gap of 3 or more points earns the badge, and it's the only pick on the card. Win and spread numbers are predictions we publish for the record, unbadged. The ATS lean stays tracked but unbadged: it has never beaten the closing line, even though the model beats the opener by about half a point of line value.

All four markets grade against the closing line once the game goes final. The full ledger lives on the track record.

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