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WK 8 · 2025FINALOPENER CAPTURED WED 3:46 PM ET

Week 8 · 2025 season

Temple @ Charlotte

The OVER 47.0 cashed. The full grade is below.

The verdict

SAT, OCT 18 · FINAL · JERRY RICHARDSON STADIUM
Temple5-781%
Charlotte1-1119%
TEMNATL RANKCLT
-0.0no rank
Overall rating
no rank-0.1
0.1no rank
Offense rating
no rank-0.1
-0.1no rank
Defense rating
no rank-0.1
-8.9no rank
Pace
no rank-8.9
100%no rank
Returning PPA
no rank24%
#106106th
Power rank
131st#131
#123123rd
Recruiting rank
144th#144

Cell color follows national rank:top 4091st or worse.

Open total47.0
Model total52.5
EDGE OVER 47.0 · HIT

RATINGS AS OF: TEM wk 17 · CLT wk 17 · RANKS PRINTED IN EVERY TINTED CELL

Model margin (home)
-12.4
Open spread
+11.5
Close spread
+9.5
Close total
47.5

Graded, all four markets

Every market grades against the close. The edge is the only one we badge as a pick; the other three ride along for calibration.

TEM49
FINALJerry Richardson Stadium
CLT14
  • WinTempleWIN HIT
  • ATSTempleATS HIT
  • TotalsOVER 47.5TOTAL HIT
  • EdgeOVER 47.0EDGE HIT
Where these numbers come from

One model scores every FBS game: a win probability, a projected margin, and a projected total, built from as-of team ratings (offense, defense, pace, returning production, recruiting). Ratings on this page are snapshots from the week shown, with zero future information baked in.

The totals edge compares the model's total to the opening number. A gap of 3 or more points earns the badge, and it's the only pick on the card. Win and spread numbers are predictions we publish for the record, unbadged. The ATS lean stays tracked but unbadged: it has never beaten the closing line, even though the model beats the opener by about half a point of line value.

All four markets grade against the closing line once the game goes final. The full ledger lives on the track record.

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