Downfield DataGet the board
WK 8 · 2025FINALOPENER CAPTURED WED 3:46 PM ET

Week 8 · 2025 season

Georgia Tech @ Duke

The UNDER 60.8 cashed. The full grade is below.

The verdict

SAT, OCT 18 · FINAL · WALLACE WADE STADIUM
Georgia Tech9-454%
Duke9-546%
GTNATL RANKDUKE
0.2no rank
Overall rating
no rank0.2
0.2no rank
Offense rating
no rank0.3
-0.0no rank
Defense rating
no rank-0.1
-1.3no rank
Pace
no rank-1.9
81%no rank
Returning PPA
no rank18%
#4444th
Power rank
61st#61
#2121st
Recruiting rank
30th#30

Cell color follows national rank:top 4091st or worse.

Open total60.8
Model total55.7
EDGE UNDER 60.8 · HIT

RATINGS AS OF: GT wk 17 · DUKE wk 17 · RANKS PRINTED IN EVERY TINTED CELL

Model margin (home)
+0.9
Open spread
-2.5
Close spread
-3.5
Close total
60.5

Graded, all four markets

Every market grades against the close. The edge is the only one we badge as a pick; the other three ride along for calibration.

GT27
FINALWallace Wade Stadium
DUKE18
  • WinGeorgia TechWIN HIT
  • ATSGeorgia TechATS HIT
  • TotalsUNDER 60.5TOTAL HIT
  • EdgeUNDER 60.8EDGE HIT
Where these numbers come from

One model scores every FBS game: a win probability, a projected margin, and a projected total, built from as-of team ratings (offense, defense, pace, returning production, recruiting). Ratings on this page are snapshots from the week shown, with zero future information baked in.

The totals edge compares the model's total to the opening number. A gap of 3 or more points earns the badge, and it's the only pick on the card. Win and spread numbers are predictions we publish for the record, unbadged. The ATS lean stays tracked but unbadged: it has never beaten the closing line, even though the model beats the opener by about half a point of line value.

All four markets grade against the closing line once the game goes final. The full ledger lives on the track record.

Back to the week 8 board