The Board

Every game on the slate gets a win probability, a margin, and a total. Cyan rows cleared the 3-point bar against the opening total; those carry the only badge we sell. The rest of the board is the model showing its work.

52Games modeled

11Edges badged

41Passes

Matchups read Away @ Home. Open every game for the full model read: win probability, paired team ratings, and the grade once it goes final.

Tuesday, Oct 28

OPENERS CAPTURED WED 3:46 PM ET

Tuesday, Oct 28 games: opening total, model total, and edge. Cyan-washed rows with a printed lean are badged totals edges.
Game	Open	Model	Edge
UTEP @ Kennesaw State8:00 PM ET · FINAL	49.8	49.2	-0.6
James Madison @ Texas State8:00 PM ET · FINAL	59.0	59.3	+0.3

Wednesday, Oct 29

Wednesday, Oct 29 games: opening total, model total, and edge. Cyan-washed rows with a printed lean are badged totals edges.
Game	Open	Model	Edge
Jacksonville State @ Middle Tennessee7:30 PM ET · FINAL	54.0	55.9	+1.9
Florida International @ Missouri State8:00 PM ET · FINAL	52.0	49.7	-2.3

Thursday, Oct 30

Thursday, Oct 30 games: opening total, model total, and edge. Cyan-washed rows with a printed lean are badged totals edges.
Game	Open	Model	Edge
Tulane @ UTSA7:30 PM ET · FINAL	55.5	52.9	-2.6
Marshall @ Coastal Carolina7:30 PM ET · FINAL	54.8	54.3	-0.5

Friday, Oct 31

Friday, Oct 31 games: opening total, model total, and edge. Cyan-washed rows with a printed lean are badged totals edges.
Game	Open	Model	Edge
Memphis @ Rice7:00 PM ET · FINAL	52.0	52.1	+0.1
North Carolina @ Syracuse7:30 PM ET · FINAL	47.3	47.3	+0.1
Sam Houston @ Louisiana Tech8:00 PM ET · FINAL	49.8	50.1	+0.4

Saturday, Nov 1

Saturday, Nov 1 games: opening total, model total, and edge. Cyan-washed rows with a printed lean are badged totals edges.
Game	Open	Model	Edge
UAB @ UConn12:00 PM ET · FINAL	64.3	56.4	-7.8UNDER
Vanderbilt @ Texas12:00 PM ET · FINAL	45.5	45.8	+0.3
Rutgers @ Illinois12:00 PM ET · FINAL	63.0	58.9	-4.1UNDER
Penn State @ Ohio State12:00 PM ET · FINAL	47.0	49.8	+2.8
Miami @ SMU12:00 PM ET · FINAL	50.5	48.4	-2.1
Army @ Air Force12:00 PM ET · FINAL	49.5	55.3	+5.8OVER
Navy @ North Texas12:00 PM ET · FINAL	63.8	64.4	+0.7
Duke @ Clemson12:00 PM ET · FINAL	54.8	55.3	+0.5
Buffalo @ Bowling Green12:00 PM ET · FINAL	43.5	48.1	+4.6OVER
West Virginia @ Houston12:00 PM ET · FINAL	49.5	51.2	+1.7
UCF @ Baylor12:00 PM ET · FINAL	60.5	56.6	-3.9UNDER
Arizona State @ Iowa State1:00 PM ET · FINAL	50.5	51.1	+0.6
East Carolina @ Temple2:00 PM ET · FINAL	57.5	53.6	-3.9UNDER
Louisville @ Virginia Tech3:00 PM ET · FINAL	53.8	55.2	+1.4
New Mexico @ UNLV3:00 PM ET · FINAL	62.3	59.4	-2.9
Delaware @ Liberty3:30 PM ET · FINAL	51.3	49.9	-1.4
Georgia @ Florida3:30 PM ET · FINAL	51.0	49.6	-1.4
Texas Tech @ Kansas State3:30 PM ET · FINAL	56.5	54.7	-1.8
Fresno State @ Boise State3:30 PM ET · FINAL	51.3	49.6	-1.6
Old Dominion @ UL Monroe3:30 PM ET · FINAL	53.5	53.5	+0.0
Indiana @ Maryland3:30 PM ET · FINAL	51.5	51.9	+0.4
Louisiana @ South Alabama3:30 PM ET · FINAL	54.8	53.3	-1.4
New Mexico State @ Western Kentucky3:30 PM ET · FINAL	54.0	50.8	-3.2UNDER
Pittsburgh @ Stanford3:30 PM ET · FINAL	52.0	54.7	+2.7
Notre Dame @ Boston College3:30 PM ET · FINAL	57.5	55.7	-1.8
Michigan State @ Minnesota3:30 PM ET · FINAL	44.0	46.0	+2.0
Virginia @ California3:45 PM ET · FINAL	54.3	55.0	+0.7
Mississippi State @ Arkansas4:00 PM ET · FINAL	68.0	64.7	-3.3UNDER
Central Michigan @ Western Michigan4:00 PM ET · FINAL	41.5	44.4	+2.9
Oklahoma State @ Kansas4:00 PM ET · FINAL	56.8	57.0	+0.3
Arizona @ Colorado7:00 PM ET · FINAL	53.0	54.7	+1.7
Wyoming @ San Diego State7:00 PM ET · FINAL	42.0	46.8	+4.8OVER
Purdue @ Michigan7:00 PM ET · FINAL	51.0	50.3	-0.7
South Carolina @ Ole Miss7:00 PM ET · FINAL	54.0	53.3	-0.8
Washington State @ Oregon State7:30 PM ET · FINAL	49.5	51.2	+1.7
Georgia Tech @ NC State7:30 PM ET · FINAL	57.5	55.0	-2.5
Kentucky @ Auburn7:30 PM ET · FINAL	47.0	49.6	+2.6
USC @ Nebraska7:30 PM ET · FINAL	58.3	52.5	-5.7UNDER
Wake Forest @ Florida State7:30 PM ET · FINAL	52.3	52.5	+0.3
Oklahoma @ Tennessee7:30 PM ET · FINAL	56.3	56.0	-0.3
Arkansas State @ Troy8:00 PM ET · FINAL	54.8	55.2	+0.4
Cincinnati @ Utah10:15 PM ET · FINAL	56.8	54.3	-2.5
Hawai'i @ San José State10:30 PM ET · FINAL	56.3	59.5	+3.3OVER

Model totals vs the openers. The badge needs 3 points of daylight; win and spread numbers ride along unbadged.