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WK 10 · 2025FINALOPENER CAPTURED WED 3:46 PM ET

Week 10 · 2025 season

East Carolina @ Temple

The UNDER 57.5 missed. The full grade is below.

The verdict

SAT, NOV 1 · FINAL · LINCOLN FINANCIAL FIELD
East Carolina9-464%
Temple5-736%
ECUNATL RANKTEM
0.3no rank
Overall rating
no rank-0.0
0.2no rank
Offense rating
no rank0.1
0.1no rank
Defense rating
no rank-0.1
6.0no rank
Pace
no rank-8.9
51%no rank
Returning PPA
no rank100%
#3434th
Power rank
106th#106
#7777th
Recruiting rank
123rd#123

Cell color follows national rank:top 4091st or worse.

Open total57.5
Model total53.6
EDGE UNDER 57.5 · MISS

RATINGS AS OF: ECU wk 17 · TEM wk 17 · RANKS PRINTED IN EVERY TINTED CELL

Model margin (home)
-3.7
Open spread
+4.5
Close spread
+5.5
Close total
58.5

Graded, all four markets

Every market grades against the close. The edge is the only one we badge as a pick; the other three ride along for calibration.

ECU45
FINALLincoln Financial Field
TEM14
  • WinEast CarolinaWIN HIT
  • ATSTempleATS MISS
  • TotalsUNDER 58.5TOTAL MISS
  • EdgeUNDER 57.5EDGE MISS
Where these numbers come from

One model scores every FBS game: a win probability, a projected margin, and a projected total, built from as-of team ratings (offense, defense, pace, returning production, recruiting). Ratings on this page are snapshots from the week shown, with zero future information baked in.

The totals edge compares the model's total to the opening number. A gap of 3 or more points earns the badge, and it's the only pick on the card. Win and spread numbers are predictions we publish for the record, unbadged. The ATS lean stays tracked but unbadged: it has never beaten the closing line, even though the model beats the opener by about half a point of line value.

All four markets grade against the closing line once the game goes final. The full ledger lives on the track record.

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