Downfield DataGet the board
WK 10 · 2025FINALOPENER CAPTURED WED 3:46 PM ET

Week 10 · 2025 season

Washington State @ Oregon State

Graded and filed. All four markets are below.

The verdict

SAT, NOV 1 · FINAL · RESER STADIUM
Washington State7-658%
Oregon State2-1042%
WSUNATL RANKORST
0.2no rank
Overall rating
no rank-0.1
0.1no rank
Offense rating
no rank-0.0
0.1no rank
Defense rating
no rank-0.1
-5.0no rank
Pace
no rank0.4
25%no rank
Returning PPA
no rank52%
#4949th
Power rank
115th#115
#7171st
Recruiting rank
64th#64

Cell color follows national rank:top 4091st or worse.

Open total49.5
Model total51.2
NO BADGE THIS GAME

RATINGS AS OF: WSU wk 17 · ORST wk 17 · RANKS PRINTED IN EVERY TINTED CELL

Model margin (home)
-3.9
Open spread
+3.5
Close spread
+3.5
Close total
47.5

Graded, all four markets

Every market grades against the close. The edge is the only one we badge as a pick; the other three ride along for calibration.

WSU7
FINALReser Stadium
ORST10
  • WinWashington StateWIN MISS
  • ATSWashington StateATS MISS
  • TotalsOVER 47.5TOTAL MISS
  • Edgeno badgePASS
Where these numbers come from

One model scores every FBS game: a win probability, a projected margin, and a projected total, built from as-of team ratings (offense, defense, pace, returning production, recruiting). Ratings on this page are snapshots from the week shown, with zero future information baked in.

The totals edge compares the model's total to the opening number. A gap of 3 or more points earns the badge, and it's the only pick on the card. Win and spread numbers are predictions we publish for the record, unbadged. The ATS lean stays tracked but unbadged: it has never beaten the closing line, even though the model beats the opener by about half a point of line value.

All four markets grade against the closing line once the game goes final. The full ledger lives on the track record.

Back to the week 10 board