WK 2 · 2025OPENERS CAPTURED WED 3:46 PM ET
Week 2 · 2025 season
The Board
Every game on the slate gets a win probability, a margin, and a total. Cyan rows cleared the 3-point bar against the opening total; those carry the only badge we sell. The rest of the board is the model showing its work.
83Games modeled
29Edges badged
54Passes
Matchups read Away @ Home. Open every game for the full model read: win probability, paired team ratings, and the grade once it goes final.
Friday, Sep 5
OPENERS CAPTURED WED 3:46 PM ET| Game | Open | Model | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Northern Illinois @ Maryland7:30 PM ET · FINAL | 48.5 | 51.9 | +3.4OVER |
Saturday, Sep 6
| Game | Open | Model | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Baylor @ SMU12:00 PM ET · FINAL | 62.8 | 55.3 | -7.4UNDER |
| Central Michigan @ Pittsburgh12:00 PM ET · FINAL | 53.3 | 50.2 | -3.1UNDER |
| East Texas A&M @ Florida State12:00 PM ET · FINAL | 57.5 | 53.3 | -4.2UNDER |
| Howard @ Temple2:00 PM ET · FINAL | 46.5 | 50.9 | +4.4OVER |
| Western Carolina @ Wake Forest2:00 PM ET · FINAL | 61.5 | 56.5 | -5.0UNDER |
| Grambling @ Ohio State3:30 PM ET · FINAL | 62.5 | 58.9 | -3.6UNDER |
| Bryant @ Massachusetts3:30 PM ET · FINAL | 52.5 | 59.4 | +6.9OVER |
| North Texas @ Western Michigan3:30 PM ET · FINAL | 60.3 | 53.6 | -6.7UNDER |
| UAB @ Navy3:30 PM ET · FINAL | 59.0 | 54.4 | -4.6UNDER |
| Ole Miss @ Kentucky3:30 PM ET · FINAL | 52.0 | 48.5 | -3.5UNDER |
| Bowling Green @ Cincinnati3:30 PM ET · FINAL | 48.0 | 51.6 | +3.6OVER |
| Middle Tennessee @ Wisconsin4:00 PM ET · FINAL | 46.5 | 52.8 | +6.3OVER |
| Arkansas State @ Arkansas5:00 PM ET · FINAL | 64.0 | 57.1 | -6.8UNDER |
| Florida A&M @ Florida Atlantic6:00 PM ET · FINAL | 46.0 | 49.1 | +3.1OVER |
| Texas Southern @ California6:00 PM ET · FINAL | 53.8 | 57.3 | +3.5OVER |
| Cal Poly @ Utah6:00 PM ET · FINAL | 51.8 | 54.8 | +3.0OVER |
| Campbell @ East Carolina6:00 PM ET · FINAL | 52.5 | 57.5 | +5.0OVER |
| Western Kentucky @ Toledo7:00 PM ET · FINAL | 59.0 | 53.8 | -5.3UNDER |
| Memphis @ Georgia State7:00 PM ET · FINAL | 54.3 | 58.4 | +4.1OVER |
| Northern Colorado @ Colorado State7:00 PM ET · FINAL | 52.5 | 56.0 | +3.5OVER |
| North Carolina @ Charlotte7:00 PM ET · FINAL | 48.5 | 52.9 | +4.3OVER |
| South Carolina State @ South Carolina7:00 PM ET · FINAL | 52.5 | 58.0 | +5.5OVER |
| Houston @ Rice7:00 PM ET · FINAL | 41.0 | 48.5 | +7.5OVER |
| Louisiana Tech @ LSU7:30 PM ET · FINAL | 52.5 | 48.0 | -4.5UNDER |
| Georgia Southern @ USC7:30 PM ET · FINAL | 64.3 | 57.6 | -6.6UNDER |
| UCLA @ UNLV8:00 PM ET · FINAL | 56.0 | 51.2 | -4.8UNDER |
| Tulsa @ New Mexico State9:00 PM ET · FINAL | 53.0 | 57.1 | +4.1OVER |
| Stanford @ BYU10:15 PM ET · FINAL | 47.8 | 51.2 | +3.4OVER |
Model totals vs the openers. The badge needs 3 points of daylight; win and spread numbers ride along unbadged.