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WK 2 · 2025FINALOPENER CAPTURED WED 3:46 PM ET

Week 2 · 2025 season

Florida A&M @ Florida Atlantic

The OVER 46.0 cashed. The full grade is below.

The verdict

SAT, SEP 6 · FINAL · FAU STADIUM
Florida A&M6%
Florida Atlantic4-894%
Florida A&MNATL RANKFAU
n/ano rank
Overall rating
no rank0.1
n/ano rank
Offense rating
no rank0.2
n/ano rank
Defense rating
no rank-0.1
n/ano rank
Pace
no rank4.5
n/ano rank
Returning PPA
no rank21%
n/ano rank
Power rank
77th#77
n/ano rank
Recruiting rank
85th#85

Cell color follows national rank:top 4091st or worse.

Open total46.0
Model total49.1
EDGE OVER 46.0 · HIT

RATINGS AS OF: FAU wk 17 · RANKS PRINTED IN EVERY TINTED CELL

Model margin (home)
+19.2
Open spread
-20.8
Close spread
-21.3
Close total
50.8

Graded, all four markets

Every market grades against the close. The edge is the only one we badge as a pick; the other three ride along for calibration.

Florida A&M14
FINALFAU Stadium
FAU56
  • WinFlorida AtlanticWIN HIT
  • ATSFlorida A&MATS MISS
  • TotalsUNDER 50.8TOTAL MISS
  • EdgeOVER 46.0EDGE HIT
Where these numbers come from

One model scores every FBS game: a win probability, a projected margin, and a projected total, built from as-of team ratings (offense, defense, pace, returning production, recruiting). Ratings on this page are snapshots from the week shown, with zero future information baked in.

The totals edge compares the model's total to the opening number. A gap of 3 or more points earns the badge, and it's the only pick on the card. Win and spread numbers are predictions we publish for the record, unbadged. The ATS lean stays tracked but unbadged: it has never beaten the closing line, even though the model beats the opener by about half a point of line value.

All four markets grade against the closing line once the game goes final. The full ledger lives on the track record.

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