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WK 2 · 2025FINALOPENER CAPTURED WED 3:46 PM ET

Week 2 · 2025 season

Grambling @ Ohio State

The UNDER 62.5 missed. The full grade is below.

The verdict

SAT, SEP 6 · FINAL · OHIO STADIUM
Grambling0%
Ohio State12-2100%
GramblingNATL RANKOSU
n/ano rank
Overall rating
no rank0.5
n/ano rank
Offense rating
no rank0.3
n/ano rank
Defense rating
no rank0.2
n/ano rank
Pace
no rank-5.5
n/ano rank
Returning PPA
no rank31%
n/ano rank
Power rank
3rd#3
n/ano rank
Recruiting rank
4th#4

Cell color follows national rank:top 4091st or worse.

Open total62.5
Model total58.9
EDGE UNDER 62.5 · MISS

RATINGS AS OF: OSU wk 17 · RANKS PRINTED IN EVERY TINTED CELL

Model margin (home)
+46.0
Open spread
-55.5
Close spread
-53.5
Close total
63.5

Graded, all four markets

Every market grades against the close. The edge is the only one we badge as a pick; the other three ride along for calibration.

Grambling0
FINALOhio Stadium
OSU70
  • WinOhio StateWIN HIT
  • ATSGramblingATS MISS
  • TotalsUNDER 63.5TOTAL MISS
  • EdgeUNDER 62.5EDGE MISS
Where these numbers come from

One model scores every FBS game: a win probability, a projected margin, and a projected total, built from as-of team ratings (offense, defense, pace, returning production, recruiting). Ratings on this page are snapshots from the week shown, with zero future information baked in.

The totals edge compares the model's total to the opening number. A gap of 3 or more points earns the badge, and it's the only pick on the card. Win and spread numbers are predictions we publish for the record, unbadged. The ATS lean stays tracked but unbadged: it has never beaten the closing line, even though the model beats the opener by about half a point of line value.

All four markets grade against the closing line once the game goes final. The full ledger lives on the track record.

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