WK 10 · 2025OPENERS CAPTURED WED 3:46 PM ET
Week 10 · 2025 season
The Board
Every game on the slate gets a win probability, a margin, and a total. Cyan rows cleared the 3-point bar against the opening total; those carry the only badge we sell. The rest of the board is the model showing its work.
52Games modeled
11Edges badged
41Passes
Matchups read Away @ Home. Open every game for the full model read: win probability, paired team ratings, and the grade once it goes final.
Saturday, Nov 1
OPENERS CAPTURED WED 3:46 PM ET| Game | Open | Model | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| UAB @ UConn12:00 PM ET · FINAL | 64.3 | 56.4 | -7.8UNDER |
| Rutgers @ Illinois12:00 PM ET · FINAL | 63.0 | 58.9 | -4.1UNDER |
| Army @ Air Force12:00 PM ET · FINAL | 49.5 | 55.3 | +5.8OVER |
| Buffalo @ Bowling Green12:00 PM ET · FINAL | 43.5 | 48.1 | +4.6OVER |
| UCF @ Baylor12:00 PM ET · FINAL | 60.5 | 56.6 | -3.9UNDER |
| East Carolina @ Temple2:00 PM ET · FINAL | 57.5 | 53.6 | -3.9UNDER |
| New Mexico State @ Western Kentucky3:30 PM ET · FINAL | 54.0 | 50.8 | -3.2UNDER |
| Mississippi State @ Arkansas4:00 PM ET · FINAL | 68.0 | 64.7 | -3.3UNDER |
| Wyoming @ San Diego State7:00 PM ET · FINAL | 42.0 | 46.8 | +4.8OVER |
| USC @ Nebraska7:30 PM ET · FINAL | 58.3 | 52.5 | -5.7UNDER |
| Hawai'i @ San José State10:30 PM ET · FINAL | 56.3 | 59.5 | +3.3OVER |
Model totals vs the openers. The badge needs 3 points of daylight; win and spread numbers ride along unbadged.