Downfield DataGet the board
Wk 4 · 202562 games gradedscored Wed, Jul 15

The card, graded

22 edges · vs the close

Rice @ Charlotte

Final · Thu, Sep 18

28-1745 total points

The pickOVER 44.5
Model total49.09
Close42
EDGE HIT

Iowa @ Rutgers

Final · Fri, Sep 19

38-2866 total points

The pickOVER 46
Model total49.53
Close46.5
EDGE HIT

Arkansas @ Memphis

Final · Sat, Sep 20

31-3263 total points

The pickUNDER 62.5
Model total56.15
Close59.5
EDGE MISS

Syracuse @ Clemson

Final · Sat, Sep 20

34-2155 total points

The pickOVER 54.75
Model total60.05
Close53.5
EDGE HIT

Maryland @ Wisconsin

Final · Sat, Sep 20

27-1037 total points

The pickOVER 43.5
Model total46.71
Close44.5
EDGE MISS

SMU @ TCU

Final · Sat, Sep 20

24-3559 total points

The pickUNDER 63.25
Model total55.75
Close63.5
EDGE HIT

UAB @ Tennessee

Final · Sat, Sep 20

24-5680 total points

The pickUNDER 67.75
Model total63.94
Close68.5
EDGE MISS

Oregon State @ Oregon

Final · Sat, Sep 20

7-4148 total points

The pickOVER 56.5
Model total60.97
Close58.5
EDGE MISS

Tulane @ Ole Miss

Final · Sat, Sep 20

10-4555 total points

The pickUNDER 61
Model total57.87
Close61.5
EDGE HIT

Temple @ Georgia Tech

Final · Sat, Sep 20

24-4569 total points

The pickOVER 53.5
Model total57.12
Close52.5
EDGE HIT

McNeese @ Utah State

Final · Sat, Sep 20

7-4855 total points

The pickUNDER 61.5
Model total56.17
Close63
EDGE HIT

Nicholls @ Texas State

Final · Sat, Sep 20

3-3538 total points

The pickOVER 54.5
Model total58.86
Close57
EDGE MISS

UL Monroe @ UTEP

Final · Sat, Sep 20

31-2556 total points

The pickOVER 47
Model total51.46
Close47
EDGE HIT

Wyoming @ Colorado

Final · Sat, Sep 20

20-3757 total points

The pickOVER 43.75
Model total47.17
Close45.5
EDGE HIT

Fresno State @ Hawai'i

Final · Sat, Sep 20

23-2144 total points

The pickOVER 47.5
Model total52.68
Close47.5
EDGE MISS

The full slate, graded

scored Wed, Jul 15
Every completed game in week 4 of the 2025 season: final score, actual total, model total, win pick result, and edge result.
GameFinalTotalModelWin pickEdge
Rice @ CharlotteThu, Sep 1828-174549.09HITHIT
Tulsa @ Oklahoma StateFri, Sep 1919-123158.73MISS
Iowa @ RutgersFri, Sep 1938-286649.53HITHIT
UNLV @ Miami (OH)Sat, Sep 2041-387948.72HIT
South Carolina State @ South FloridaSat, Sep 2014-637756.43HIT
Arkansas @ MemphisSat, Sep 2031-326356.15MISSMISS
Syracuse @ ClemsonSat, Sep 2034-215560.05MISSHIT
Bowling Green @ LouisvilleSat, Sep 2017-405751.04HIT
North Texas @ ArmySat, Sep 2045-388352.12HIT
Maryland @ WisconsinSat, Sep 2027-103746.71MISSMISS
SMU @ TCUSat, Sep 2024-355955.75HITHIT
Texas Tech @ UtahSat, Sep 2034-104458.03HIT
Wofford @ Virginia TechSat, Sep 206-384448.91HIT
UAB @ TennesseeSat, Sep 2024-568063.94HITMISS
Wagner @ Central MichiganSat, Sep 2010-495945.58HIT
Oregon State @ OregonSat, Sep 207-414860.97HITMISS
Louisiana @ Eastern MichiganSat, Sep 2031-346551.19MISS
Tulane @ Ole MissSat, Sep 2010-455557.87HITHIT
Auburn @ OklahomaSat, Sep 2017-244152.09HIT
Kent State @ Florida StateSat, Sep 2010-667654.5HIT
Troy @ BuffaloSat, Sep 2021-173845.42MISS
Gardner-Webb @ OhioSat, Sep 2035-528753.2HIT
North Carolina @ UCFSat, Sep 209-344347.52HIT
James Madison @ LibertySat, Sep 2031-134448.43HIT
Toledo @ Western MichiganSat, Sep 2013-142751.73MISS
Michigan @ NebraskaSat, Sep 2030-275746.97MISS
Ball State @ UConnSat, Sep 2025-315651.75HIT
Purdue @ Notre DameSat, Sep 2030-568653.43HIT
NC State @ DukeSat, Sep 2033-457856.79MISS
Northern Illinois @ Mississippi StateSat, Sep 2010-384852.48HITMISS
Temple @ Georgia TechSat, Sep 2024-456957.12HITHIT
Idaho @ San José StateSat, Sep 2028-315948.47HIT
Delaware @ Florida InternationalSat, Sep 2038-165454.05MISS
West Virginia @ KansasSat, Sep 2010-415155.1HIT
Duquesne @ AkronSat, Sep 207-515849.72HIT
Arkansas State @ Kennesaw StateSat, Sep 2021-284957.93MISSMISS
Nevada @ Western KentuckySat, Sep 2016-314752.42HIT
Marshall @ Middle TennesseeSat, Sep 2042-287051.83HITHIT
UT Martin @ Missouri StateSat, Sep 2010-425254.21HIT
Murray State @ Jacksonville StateSat, Sep 2010-455555.78HITHIT
Coastal Carolina @ South AlabamaSat, Sep 2038-205852.14MISS
South Carolina @ MissouriSat, Sep 2020-294949.8HITHIT
Boise State @ Air ForceSat, Sep 2049-378652.45HIT
Maine @ Georgia SouthernSat, Sep 2017-456256.03HIT
BYU @ East CarolinaSat, Sep 2034-134749.49HIT
Southern Miss @ Louisiana TechSat, Sep 2020-305048.48HITHIT
Illinois @ IndianaSat, Sep 2010-637354.18HIT
Stanford @ VirginiaSat, Sep 2020-486850.69HIT
Washington @ Washington StateSat, Sep 2059-248356.16HIT
Arizona State @ BaylorSat, Sep 2027-245160.36HIT
Georgia State @ VanderbiltSat, Sep 2021-709159.3HITHIT
Florida @ MiamiSat, Sep 207-263354.11HIT
SE Louisiana @ LSUSat, Sep 2010-566652.46HIT
McNeese @ Utah StateSat, Sep 207-485556.17HITHIT
Sam Houston @ TexasSat, Sep 200-555549.18HIT
Nicholls @ Texas StateSat, Sep 203-353858.86HITMISS
UL Monroe @ UTEPSat, Sep 2031-255651.46MISSHIT
UTSA @ Colorado StateSat, Sep 2017-163357.85HIT
Wyoming @ ColoradoSat, Sep 2020-375747.17HITHIT
California @ San Diego StateSat, Sep 200-343448.6MISS
Michigan State @ USCSat, Sep 2031-457658.2HIT
Fresno State @ Hawai'iSat, Sep 2023-214452.68HITMISS

Win picks are straight up predictions with no badge. Cyan rows carry the week's totals edges, the only picks we badge.

Season 2025 edge line

55.2% on 344 decidedROI +5.4%CLV +0.6346 betsThe full receipts