Downfield DataGet the board
Wk 11 · 202552 games gradedscored Wed, Jul 15

The card, graded

15 edges · vs the close

Houston @ UCF

Final · Fri, Nov 7

30-2757 total points

The pickOVER 48
Model total52.31
Close47.5
EDGE HIT

Ohio State @ Purdue

Final · Sat, Nov 8

34-1044 total points

The pickOVER 48.5
Model total52.24
Close49.5
EDGE MISS

The Citadel @ Ole Miss

Final · Sat, Nov 8

0-4949 total points

The pickUNDER 63.5
Model total60.37
Close63.5
EDGE HIT

Maryland @ Rutgers

Final · Sat, Nov 8

20-3555 total points

The pickUNDER 59
Model total54.32
Close56.5
EDGE HIT

Syracuse @ Miami

Final · Sat, Nov 8

10-3848 total points

The pickOVER 46.5
Model total51.65
Close46.5
EDGE HIT

Duke @ UConn

Final · Sat, Nov 8

34-3771 total points

The pickUNDER 66.5
Model total56.13
Close63
EDGE MISS

Washington @ Wisconsin

Final · Sat, Nov 8

10-1323 total points

The pickOVER 45.5
Model total48.83
Close44.5
EDGE MISS

Nebraska @ UCLA

Final · Sat, Nov 8

28-2149 total points

The pickOVER 43.75
Model total47.37
Close45.5
EDGE HIT

UNLV @ Colorado State

Final · Sat, Nov 8

42-1052 total points

The pickUNDER 61.5
Model total54.54
Close61
EDGE HIT

The full slate, graded

scored Wed, Jul 15
Every completed game in week 11 of the 2025 season: final score, actual total, model total, win pick result, and edge result.
GameFinalTotalModelWin pickEdge
Massachusetts @ AkronTue, Nov 410-445450.63HIT
Miami (OH) @ OhioTue, Nov 420-244447.67HIT
Kent State @ Ball StateWed, Nov 513-173048.8MISS
Northern Illinois @ ToledoWed, Nov 53-424542.63HIT
Georgia Southern @ App StateThu, Nov 625-234857.05MISSHIT
UTSA @ South FloridaThu, Nov 623-557866.28HIT
Houston @ UCFFri, Nov 730-275752.31MISSHIT
Tulane @ MemphisFri, Nov 738-327055.35MISS
Northwestern @ USCFri, Nov 717-385551.56HIT
James Madison @ MarshallSat, Nov 835-235860.24HITHIT
Colorado @ West VirginiaSat, Nov 822-295152.66HIT
Southern Miss @ Arkansas StateSat, Nov 827-214850.43HITHIT
Indiana @ Penn StateSat, Nov 827-245150.78HIT
SMU @ Boston CollegeSat, Nov 845-135852.88HIT
Temple @ ArmySat, Nov 813-142747.91HIT
BYU @ Texas TechSat, Nov 87-293652.06HIT
Georgia @ Mississippi StateSat, Nov 841-216255.94HIT
Missouri State @ LibertySat, Nov 821-173849.94MISS
Ohio State @ PurdueSat, Nov 834-104452.24HITMISS
Bowling Green @ Eastern MichiganSat, Nov 821-274850.06HIT
The Citadel @ Ole MissSat, Nov 80-494960.37HITHIT
UAB @ RiceSat, Nov 817-244155.01MISS
Maryland @ RutgersSat, Nov 820-355554.32MISSHIT
Louisiana Tech @ DelawareSat, Nov 824-254956.22MISS
Tulsa @ Florida AtlanticSat, Nov 821-406160.78HITMISS
Florida International @ Middle TennesseeSat, Nov 856-308652.18HIT
Jacksonville State @ UTEPSat, Nov 830-275750.87HIT
Charlotte @ East CarolinaSat, Nov 822-487053.2HIT
Syracuse @ MiamiSat, Nov 810-384851.65HITHIT
Oregon @ IowaSat, Nov 818-163445.87HIT
Texas A&M @ MissouriSat, Nov 838-175550.36HIT
Iowa State @ TCUSat, Nov 820-173757.41MISS
Kansas @ ArizonaSat, Nov 820-244454.78HIT
Duke @ UConnSat, Nov 834-377156.13MISSMISS
Kennesaw State @ New Mexico StateSat, Nov 824-214553.46HIT
Georgia State @ Coastal CarolinaSat, Nov 827-406758.01HIT
Auburn @ VanderbiltSat, Nov 838-458344.27HIT
Washington @ WisconsinSat, Nov 810-132348.83MISSMISS
Stanford @ North CarolinaSat, Nov 815-203546.16HITMISS
Texas State @ LouisianaSat, Nov 839-428155.94MISSMISS
Air Force @ San José StateSat, Nov 826-164263.07MISS
California @ LouisvilleSat, Nov 829-265548.97MISS
Wake Forest @ VirginiaSat, Nov 816-92550.36MISS
Florida State @ ClemsonSat, Nov 810-243458.08HIT
Florida @ KentuckySat, Nov 87-384547.86MISS
LSU @ AlabamaSat, Nov 89-202954.27HIT
Navy @ Notre DameSat, Nov 810-495954.38HIT
Nevada @ Utah StateSat, Nov 814-516550.05HIT
Nebraska @ UCLASat, Nov 828-214947.37HITHIT
UNLV @ Colorado StateSat, Nov 842-105254.54HITHIT
Sam Houston @ Oregon StateSat, Nov 821-173851.97MISS
San Diego State @ Hawai'iSat, Nov 86-384451.16MISS

Win picks are straight up predictions with no badge. Cyan rows carry the week's totals edges, the only picks we badge.

Season 2025 edge line

55.2% on 344 decidedROI +5.4%CLV +0.6346 betsThe full receipts