Downfield DataGet the board
Wk 1 · 202596 games gradedscored Wed, Jul 15

The card, graded

35 edges · vs the close

Idaho State @ UNLV

Final · Sat, Aug 23

31-3869 total points

The pickUNDER 64.5
Model total56.51
Close67.25
EDGE MISS

Fresno State @ Kansas

Final · Sat, Aug 23

7-3138 total points

The pickUNDER 51.5
Model total46.72
Close50.5
EDGE HIT

Stanford @ Hawai'i

Final · Sat, Aug 23

20-2343 total points

The pickOVER 53.5
Model total56.77
Close50.5
EDGE MISS

Ohio @ Rutgers

Final · Thu, Aug 28

31-3465 total points

The pickOVER 46.5
Model total49.84
Close52
EDGE HIT

Buffalo @ Minnesota

Final · Thu, Aug 28

10-2333 total points

The pickOVER 45.5
Model total48.58
Close43
EDGE MISS

Alabama State @ UAB

Final · Thu, Aug 28

42-5294 total points

The pickOVER 53.5
Model total57.41
Close53.5
EDGE HIT

Miami (OH) @ Wisconsin

Final · Thu, Aug 28

0-1717 total points

The pickOVER 40.5
Model total44.74
Close41
EDGE MISS

UNLV @ Sam Houston

Final · Fri, Aug 29

38-2159 total points

The pickUNDER 58.5
Model total51.49
Close60.5
EDGE HIT

Syracuse @ Tennessee

Final · Sat, Aug 30

26-4571 total points

The pickOVER 53.5
Model total60.55
Close51.5
EDGE HIT

Alabama A&M @ Arkansas

Final · Sat, Aug 30

7-5259 total points

The pickUNDER 62.5
Model total58.94
Close63.75
EDGE HIT

UAlbany @ Iowa

Final · Sat, Aug 30

7-3441 total points

The pickUNDER 48.5
Model total45.45
Close48.5
EDGE HIT

Missouri State @ USC

Final · Sat, Aug 30

13-7386 total points

The pickUNDER 59.5
Model total55.83
Close60
EDGE MISS

Lamar @ North Texas

Final · Sat, Aug 30

0-5151 total points

The pickUNDER 63.5
Model total56.01
Close63
EDGE HIT

East Texas A&M @ SMU

Final · Sat, Aug 30

13-4255 total points

The pickUNDER 63.5
Model total54.15
Close64.75
EDGE HIT

Notre Dame @ Miami

Final · Sun, Aug 31

24-2751 total points

The pickOVER 53.5
Model total57.28
Close50.5
EDGE HIT

TCU @ North Carolina

Final · Mon, Sep 1

48-1462 total points

The pickUNDER 59.5
Model total54.73
Close55
EDGE MISS

The full slate, graded

scored Wed, Jul 15
Every completed game in week 1 of the 2025 season: final score, actual total, model total, win pick result, and edge result.
GameFinalTotalModelWin pickEdge
Iowa State @ Kansas StateSat, Aug 2324-214550.34MISS
Idaho State @ UNLVSat, Aug 2331-386956.51HITMISS
Fresno State @ KansasSat, Aug 237-313846.72HITHIT
Sam Houston @ Western KentuckySat, Aug 2324-416550.67HITMISS
Stanford @ Hawai'iSat, Aug 2320-234356.77MISSMISS
Boise State @ South FloridaThu, Aug 287-344156.88MISSHIT
Ohio @ RutgersThu, Aug 2831-346549.84HITHIT
Lafayette @ Bowling GreenThu, Aug 287-263352.35HIT
Delaware State @ DelawareThu, Aug 2817-355253.95HIT
St. Francis (PA) @ UL MonroeThu, Aug 280-292948.67HIT
East Carolina @ NC StateThu, Aug 2817-244154.53HITHIT
Wyoming @ AkronThu, Aug 2810-01049.54HIT
Jacksonville State @ UCFThu, Aug 2810-172755.78HIT
Central Arkansas @ MissouriThu, Aug 286-616751.26HIT
UT Martin @ Oklahoma StateThu, Aug 287-273455.08HIT
Elon @ DukeThu, Aug 2817-456250.34HIT
Buffalo @ MinnesotaThu, Aug 2810-233348.58HITMISS
Stephen F. Austin @ HoustonThu, Aug 280-272752.07HITHIT
Alabama State @ UABThu, Aug 2842-529457.41HITHIT
Nebraska @ CincinnatiThu, Aug 2820-173751.93HIT
Miami (OH) @ WisconsinThu, Aug 280-171744.74HITMISS
Stony Brook @ San Diego StateThu, Aug 280-424255.51HIT
Tarleton State @ ArmyFri, Aug 2930-275752.58MISS
Kennesaw State @ Wake ForestFri, Aug 299-101952.35HIT
App State @ CharlotteFri, Aug 2934-114555.95HIT
Bethune-Cookman @ Florida InternationalFri, Aug 299-425156.02HIT
Western Michigan @ Michigan StateFri, Aug 296-232952.95HITMISS
Western Illinois @ IllinoisFri, Aug 293-525558.33HITHIT
Wagner @ KansasFri, Aug 297-465358.14HIT
Auburn @ BaylorFri, Aug 2938-246255.68HIT
Georgia Tech @ ColoradoFri, Aug 2927-204756.13HIT
UNLV @ Sam HoustonFri, Aug 2938-215951.49HITHIT
Central Michigan @ San José StateFri, Aug 2916-143047.44MISSHIT
Merrimack @ Kent StateSat, Aug 3017-213850.18HIT
Duquesne @ PittsburghSat, Aug 309-617056.39HIT
Syracuse @ TennesseeSat, Aug 3026-457160.55HITHIT
Ball State @ PurdueSat, Aug 300-313152.17HIT
VMI @ NavySat, Aug 307-525949.65HIT
Northwestern @ TulaneSat, Aug 303-232647.87HIT
Florida Atlantic @ MarylandSat, Aug 307-394655.04HIT
Texas @ Ohio StateSat, Aug 307-142150.02HIT
Mississippi State @ Southern MissSat, Aug 3034-175153.72HITHIT
Toledo @ KentuckySat, Aug 3016-244049.26HIT
Fordham @ Boston CollegeSat, Aug 3010-667656.86HITHIT
Central Connecticut @ UConnSat, Aug 3013-597250.79HIT
Robert Morris @ West VirginiaSat, Aug 303-454856.41HIT
Old Dominion @ IndianaSat, Aug 3014-274153.73HIT
Eastern Kentucky @ LouisvilleSat, Aug 3017-516860.87HITHIT
Bucknell @ Air ForceSat, Aug 3013-496253.17HIT
South Dakota @ Iowa StateSat, Aug 307-556249.7HITHIT
Nevada @ Penn StateSat, Aug 3011-465756.07HIT
Temple @ MassachusettsSat, Aug 3042-105252.73MISS
Marshall @ GeorgiaSat, Aug 307-455253.44HIT
Holy Cross @ Northern IllinoisSat, Aug 3017-193648.72HIT
Alabama @ Florida StateSat, Aug 3017-314851.83MISS
Maine @ LibertySat, Aug 307-283554.54HIT
Montana State @ OregonSat, Aug 3013-597258.49HIT
Alabama A&M @ ArkansasSat, Aug 307-525958.94HITHIT
Chattanooga @ MemphisSat, Aug 3010-455556.66HIT
Coastal Carolina @ VirginiaSat, Aug 307-485554.68HIT
Illinois State @ OklahomaSat, Aug 303-353854.58HITHIT
Weber State @ James MadisonSat, Aug 3010-455551.04HITMISS
UAlbany @ IowaSat, Aug 307-344145.45HITHIT
North Alabama @ Western KentuckySat, Aug 306-556155.29HITMISS
Long Island University @ FloridaSat, Aug 300-555556.89HIT
Charleston Southern @ VanderbiltSat, Aug 303-454853.45HITMISS
Austin Peay @ Middle TennesseeSat, Aug 3034-144854.84MISS
Nicholls @ TroySat, Aug 3020-385850.99HIT
North Dakota @ Kansas StateSat, Aug 3035-387356.62HIT
Southeast Missouri State @ Arkansas StateSat, Aug 3024-426657.97HIT
UTSA @ Texas A&MSat, Aug 3024-426656.03HIT
Morgan State @ South AlabamaSat, Aug 3021-385952.1HIT
New Mexico @ MichiganSat, Aug 3017-345152.13HIT
Missouri State @ USCSat, Aug 3013-738655.83HITMISS
LSU @ ClemsonSat, Aug 3017-102756.8MISS
Arkansas-Pine Bluff @ Texas TechSat, Aug 307-677458.37HITMISS
UTEP @ Utah StateSat, Aug 3016-284456.82HIT
SE Louisiana @ Louisiana TechSat, Aug 300-242451.45HIT
Georgia State @ Ole MissSat, Aug 307-637058.93HITMISS
Eastern Michigan @ Texas StateSat, Aug 3027-527958.87HIT
Rice @ LouisianaSat, Aug 3014-122650.48MISS
Lamar @ North TexasSat, Aug 300-515156.01HITHIT
Abilene Christian @ TulsaSat, Aug 307-354264.33HITMISS
Portland State @ BYUSat, Aug 300-696957.45HIT
East Texas A&M @ SMUSat, Aug 3013-425554.15HITHIT
Bryant @ New Mexico StateSat, Aug 303-192258.26HITMISS
Georgia Southern @ Fresno StateSat, Aug 3014-425652.44MISS
Idaho @ Washington StateSat, Aug 3010-132350.09HIT
Northern Arizona @ Arizona StateSat, Aug 3019-385755.17HIT
California @ Oregon StateSat, Aug 3034-154952.61HIT
Hawai'i @ ArizonaSat, Aug 306-404655.46HIT
Utah @ UCLASat, Aug 3043-105347.9HIT
Colorado State @ WashingtonSat, Aug 3021-385954.9HIT
Virginia Tech @ South CarolinaSun, Aug 3111-243548.03HIT
Notre Dame @ MiamiSun, Aug 3124-275157.28MISSHIT
TCU @ North CarolinaMon, Sep 148-146254.73HITMISS

Win picks are straight up predictions with no badge. Cyan rows carry the week's totals edges, the only picks we badge.

Season 2025 edge line

55.2% on 344 decidedROI +5.4%CLV +0.6346 betsThe full receipts