The Board

Every game on the slate gets a win probability, a margin, and a total. Cyan rows cleared the 3-point bar against the opening total; those carry the only badge we sell. The rest of the board is the model showing its work.

96Games modeled

35Edges badged

61Passes

Matchups read Away @ Home. Open every game for the full model read: win probability, paired team ratings, and the grade once it goes final.

Saturday, Aug 23

OPENERS CAPTURED WED 3:46 PM ET

Saturday, Aug 23 games: opening total, model total, and edge. Cyan-washed rows with a printed lean are badged totals edges.
Game	Open	Model	Edge
Idaho State @ UNLV4:00 PM ET · FINAL	64.5	56.5	-8.0UNDER
Fresno State @ Kansas6:30 PM ET · FINAL	51.5	46.7	-4.8UNDER
Sam Houston @ Western Kentucky7:00 PM ET · FINAL	61.5	50.7	-10.8UNDER
Stanford @ Hawai'i7:30 PM ET · FINAL	53.5	56.8	+3.3OVER

Thursday, Aug 28

Thursday, Aug 28 games: opening total, model total, and edge. Cyan-washed rows with a printed lean are badged totals edges.
Game	Open	Model	Edge
Boise State @ South Florida5:30 PM ET · FINAL	63.5	56.9	-6.6UNDER
Ohio @ Rutgers6:00 PM ET · FINAL	46.5	49.8	+3.3OVER
East Carolina @ NC State7:00 PM ET · FINAL	58.5	54.5	-4.0UNDER
Buffalo @ Minnesota8:00 PM ET · FINAL	45.5	48.6	+3.1OVER
Stephen F. Austin @ Houston8:00 PM ET · FINAL	55.5	52.1	-3.4UNDER
Alabama State @ UAB8:30 PM ET · FINAL	53.5	57.4	+3.9OVER
Miami (OH) @ Wisconsin9:00 PM ET · FINAL	40.5	44.7	+4.2OVER

Friday, Aug 29

Friday, Aug 29 games: opening total, model total, and edge. Cyan-washed rows with a printed lean are badged totals edges.
Game	Open	Model	Edge
Western Michigan @ Michigan State7:00 PM ET · FINAL	49.5	53.0	+3.5OVER
Western Illinois @ Illinois7:30 PM ET · FINAL	62.5	58.3	-4.2UNDER
UNLV @ Sam Houston9:30 PM ET · FINAL	58.5	51.5	-7.0UNDER
Central Michigan @ San José State10:30 PM ET · FINAL	50.5	47.4	-3.1UNDER

Saturday, Aug 30

Saturday, Aug 30 games: opening total, model total, and edge. Cyan-washed rows with a printed lean are badged totals edges.
Game	Open	Model	Edge
Syracuse @ Tennessee12:00 PM ET · FINAL	53.5	60.5	+7.0OVER
Mississippi State @ Southern Miss12:00 PM ET · FINAL	59.5	53.7	-5.8UNDER
Fordham @ Boston College2:00 PM ET · FINAL	53.5	56.9	+3.4OVER
Eastern Kentucky @ Louisville3:00 PM ET · FINAL	56.5	60.9	+4.4OVER
South Dakota @ Iowa State3:30 PM ET · FINAL	46.5	49.7	+3.2OVER
Alabama A&M @ Arkansas4:15 PM ET · FINAL	62.5	58.9	-3.6UNDER
Illinois State @ Oklahoma6:00 PM ET · FINAL	61.0	54.6	-6.4UNDER
Weber State @ James Madison6:00 PM ET · FINAL	54.5	51.0	-3.5UNDER
UAlbany @ Iowa6:00 PM ET · FINAL	48.5	45.5	-3.0UNDER
North Alabama @ Western Kentucky7:00 PM ET · FINAL	60.5	55.3	-5.2UNDER
Charleston Southern @ Vanderbilt7:00 PM ET · FINAL	48.5	53.5	+5.0OVER
Missouri State @ USC7:30 PM ET · FINAL	59.5	55.8	-3.7UNDER
Arkansas-Pine Bluff @ Texas Tech7:30 PM ET · FINAL	62.5	58.4	-4.1UNDER
Georgia State @ Ole Miss7:45 PM ET · FINAL	62.5	58.9	-3.6UNDER
Lamar @ North Texas8:00 PM ET · FINAL	63.5	56.0	-7.5UNDER
Abilene Christian @ Tulsa8:00 PM ET · FINAL	61.0	64.3	+3.3OVER
East Texas A&M @ SMU9:00 PM ET · FINAL	63.5	54.1	-9.3UNDER
Bryant @ New Mexico State9:00 PM ET · FINAL	53.5	58.3	+4.8OVER

Sunday, Aug 31

Sunday, Aug 31 games: opening total, model total, and edge. Cyan-washed rows with a printed lean are badged totals edges.
Game	Open	Model	Edge
Notre Dame @ Miami7:30 PM ET · FINAL	53.5	57.3	+3.8OVER

Monday, Sep 1

Monday, Sep 1 games: opening total, model total, and edge. Cyan-washed rows with a printed lean are badged totals edges.
Game	Open	Model	Edge
TCU @ North Carolina8:00 PM ET · FINAL	59.5	54.7	-4.8UNDER

Model totals vs the openers. The badge needs 3 points of daylight; win and spread numbers ride along unbadged.