Downfield DataGet the board
Wk 5 · 202553 games gradedscored Wed, Jul 15

The card, graded

21 edges · vs the close

Houston @ Oregon State

Final · Fri, Sep 26

27-2451 total points

The pickOVER 48.5
Model total51.95
Close48.5
EDGE HIT

USC @ Illinois

Final · Sat, Sep 27

32-3466 total points

The pickUNDER 57.5
Model total52.75
Close62.5
EDGE MISS

Notre Dame @ Arkansas

Final · Sat, Sep 27

56-1369 total points

The pickUNDER 61.5
Model total58.15
Close63.5
EDGE MISS

Duke @ Syracuse

Final · Sat, Sep 27

38-341 total points

The pickOVER 58.75
Model total62.02
Close59.5
EDGE MISS

UConn @ Buffalo

Final · Sat, Sep 27

20-1737 total points

The pickUNDER 51.5
Model total47.04
Close51.5
EDGE HIT

Utah @ West Virginia

Final · Sat, Sep 27

48-1462 total points

The pickOVER 50
Model total53.28
Close46.5
EDGE HIT

Indiana @ Iowa

Final · Sat, Sep 27

20-1535 total points

The pickUNDER 49.25
Model total45.68
Close47.5
EDGE HIT

Rice @ Navy

Final · Sat, Sep 27

13-2134 total points

The pickOVER 45.5
Model total48.81
Close45.5
EDGE MISS

Hawai'i @ Air Force

Final · Sat, Sep 27

44-3579 total points

The pickOVER 53.75
Model total59.24
Close52.5
EDGE HIT

Liberty @ Old Dominion

Final · Sat, Sep 27

7-2128 total points

The pickOVER 51.75
Model total55.19
Close53.5
EDGE MISS

Marshall @ Louisiana

Final · Sat, Sep 27

51-54105 total points

The pickOVER 46.5
Model total50.34
Close48
EDGE HIT

The full slate, graded

scored Wed, Jul 15
Every completed game in week 5 of the 2025 season: final score, actual total, model total, win pick result, and edge result.
GameFinalTotalModelWin pickEdge
Army @ East CarolinaThu, Sep 256-283450.34HIT
Florida State @ VirginiaFri, Sep 2638-468458.8MISSHIT
TCU @ Arizona StateFri, Sep 2624-275156.87MISS
Houston @ Oregon StateFri, Sep 2627-245151.95HITHIT
Rutgers @ MinnesotaSat, Sep 2728-315951.65HIT
Cincinnati @ KansasSat, Sep 2737-347153.14HIT
South Alabama @ North TexasSat, Sep 2722-365859.89HITHIT
USC @ IllinoisSat, Sep 2732-346652.75MISSMISS
Notre Dame @ ArkansasSat, Sep 2756-136958.15HITMISS
Georgia Tech @ Wake ForestSat, Sep 2730-295952.44HIT
UCF @ Kansas StateSat, Sep 2720-345450.4HIT
Louisville @ PittsburghSat, Sep 2734-276157.91HIT
Duke @ SyracuseSat, Sep 2738-34162.02MISSMISS
Bowling Green @ OhioSat, Sep 2720-355549.35HIT
Utah State @ VanderbiltSat, Sep 2735-559058.05HIT
Eastern Michigan @ Central MichiganSat, Sep 2713-243755.51HIT
Georgia Southern @ James MadisonSat, Sep 2710-354555.95HIT
Arkansas State @ UL MonroeSat, Sep 2716-284454.99MISS
UConn @ BuffaloSat, Sep 2720-173747.04HITHIT
Auburn @ Texas A&MSat, Sep 2710-162649.92HIT
Utah @ West VirginiaSat, Sep 2748-146253.28HITHIT
LSU @ Ole MissSat, Sep 2719-244357.94HIT
Ohio State @ WashingtonSat, Sep 2724-63052.86HIT
California @ Boston CollegeSat, Sep 2728-245251.19MISS
Indiana @ IowaSat, Sep 2720-153545.68HITHIT
San Diego State @ Northern IllinoisSat, Sep 276-3945.91HITMISS
Rice @ NavySat, Sep 2713-213448.81HITMISS
UCLA @ NorthwesternSat, Sep 2714-173147.54HIT
Akron @ ToledoSat, Sep 273-454850.36HIT
Lindenwood @ Miami (OH)Sat, Sep 270-383849.96HIT
Baylor @ Oklahoma StateSat, Sep 2745-277259.6HIT
Tulane @ TulsaSat, Sep 2731-144553.29HIT
Hawai'i @ Air ForceSat, Sep 2744-357959.24MISSHIT
New Mexico State @ New MexicoSat, Sep 2720-385855.11HIT
Tennessee @ Mississippi StateSat, Sep 2741-347558.06HITMISS
Middle Tennessee @ Kennesaw StateSat, Sep 2716-244055.69MISSMISS
Liberty @ Old DominionSat, Sep 277-212855.19HITMISS
Rhode Island @ Western MichiganSat, Sep 2714-476148.59HITHIT
Western Kentucky @ Missouri StateSat, Sep 2727-224955.27HITHIT
Arizona @ Iowa StateSat, Sep 2714-395351.48HIT
Jacksonville State @ Southern MissSat, Sep 2725-426757.67MISS
Virginia Tech @ NC StateSat, Sep 2723-214453.05MISSHIT
Memphis @ Florida AtlanticSat, Sep 2755-268157.65HITMISS
Alabama @ GeorgiaSat, Sep 2724-214552.76MISS
App State @ Boise StateSat, Sep 2714-476157.64HIT
Massachusetts @ MissouriSat, Sep 276-424863.42HITMISS
San José State @ StanfordSat, Sep 2729-305950.11MISS
Oregon @ Penn StateSat, Sep 2730-245451.58MISS
Washington State @ Colorado StateSat, Sep 2720-32350.82MISS
Kentucky @ South CarolinaSat, Sep 2713-354847.95HIT
Marshall @ LouisianaSat, Sep 2751-5410550.34MISSHIT
Louisiana Tech @ UTEPSat, Sep 2730-114146.88HIT
BYU @ ColoradoSat, Sep 2724-214549.05HIT

Win picks are straight up predictions with no badge. Cyan rows carry the week's totals edges, the only picks we badge.

Season 2025 edge line

55.2% on 344 decidedROI +5.4%CLV +0.6346 betsThe full receipts