The Board

Every game on the slate gets a win probability, a margin, and a total. Cyan rows cleared the 3-point bar against the opening total; those carry the only badge we sell. The rest of the board is the model showing its work.

51Games modeled

18Edges badged

33Passes

Matchups read Away @ Home. Open every game for the full model read: win probability, paired team ratings, and the grade once it goes final.

Friday, Oct 3

OPENERS CAPTURED WED 3:46 PM ET

Friday, Oct 3 games: opening total, model total, and edge. Cyan-washed rows with a printed lean are badged totals edges.
Game	Open	Model	Edge
Western Kentucky @ Delaware7:00 PM ET · FINAL	62.0	57.9	-4.1UNDER
Colorado State @ San Diego State10:30 PM ET · FINAL	38.8	44.1	+5.4OVER

Saturday, Oct 4

Saturday, Oct 4 games: opening total, model total, and edge. Cyan-washed rows with a printed lean are badged totals edges.
Game	Open	Model	Edge
Air Force @ Navy12:00 PM ET · FINAL	49.0	52.5	+3.5OVER
Kansas State @ Baylor12:00 PM ET · FINAL	61.5	54.3	-7.2UNDER
Wisconsin @ Michigan12:00 PM ET · FINAL	41.5	45.3	+3.8OVER
Illinois @ Purdue12:00 PM ET · FINAL	55.0	51.8	-3.3UNDER
Western Michigan @ Massachusetts2:30 PM ET · FINAL	46.5	51.9	+5.4OVER
Miami (OH) @ Northern Illinois3:30 PM ET · FINAL	39.0	43.3	+4.3OVER
Penn State @ UCLA3:30 PM ET · FINAL	49.8	53.3	+3.5OVER
James Madison @ Georgia State3:30 PM ET · FINAL	53.8	57.1	+3.4OVER
UL Monroe @ Northwestern3:30 PM ET · FINAL	40.5	45.8	+5.3OVER
Kent State @ Oklahoma4:00 PM ET · FINAL	53.5	57.2	+3.7OVER
Texas State @ Arkansas State4:00 PM ET · FINAL	64.5	58.1	-6.4UNDER
South Alabama @ Troy7:00 PM ET · FINAL	47.0	53.5	+6.5OVER
Texas Tech @ Houston7:00 PM ET · FINAL	50.3	47.1	-3.1UNDER
Kansas @ UCF7:30 PM ET · FINAL	55.5	48.5	-7.0UNDER
Colorado @ TCU7:30 PM ET · FINAL	58.8	49.0	-9.8UNDER
Duke @ California10:30 PM ET · FINAL	56.3	50.8	-5.5UNDER

Model totals vs the openers. The badge needs 3 points of daylight; win and spread numbers ride along unbadged.