Kent State @ Oklahoma

The OVER 53.5 missed. The full grade is below.

The verdict

SAT, OCT 4 · FINAL · MEMORIAL STADIUM (NORMAN, OK)

Kent State5-70%

Oklahoma10-3100%

KENTNATL RANKOU

-0.0no rank

Overall rating

no rank0.4

0.0no rank

Offense rating

no rank0.1

-0.1no rank

Defense rating

no rank0.2

-11.8no rank

Pace

no rank-2.7

11%no rank

Returning PPA

no rank53%

#109109th

Power rank

15th#15

#9393rd

Recruiting rank

17th#17

Cell color follows national rank:top 4091st or worse.

Open total53.5

Model total57.2

EDGE OVER 53.5 · MISS

RATINGS AS OF: KENT wk 17 · OU wk 17 · RANKS PRINTED IN EVERY TINTED CELL

Model margin (home): +53.3
Open spread: -45.5
Close spread: -46.5
Close total: 53.5

Graded, all four markets

Every market grades against the close. The edge is the only one we badge as a pick; the other three ride along for calibration.

KENT0

FINALMemorial Stadium (Norman, OK)

OU44

WinOklahomaWIN HIT
ATSOklahomaATS MISS
TotalsOVER 53.5TOTAL MISS
EdgeOVER 53.5EDGE MISS

Where these numbers come from

One model scores every FBS game: a win probability, a projected margin, and a projected total, built from as-of team ratings (offense, defense, pace, returning production, recruiting). Ratings on this page are snapshots from the week shown, with zero future information baked in.

The totals edge compares the model's total to the opening number. A gap of 3 or more points earns the badge, and it's the only pick on the card. Win and spread numbers are predictions we publish for the record, unbadged. The ATS lean stays tracked but unbadged: it has never beaten the closing line, even though the model beats the opener by about half a point of line value.

All four markets grade against the closing line once the game goes final. The full ledger lives on the track record.

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