The Board

Every game on the slate gets a win probability, a margin, and a total. Cyan rows cleared the 3-point bar against the opening total; those carry the only badge we sell. The rest of the board is the model showing its work.

9Games modeled

6Edges badged

3Passes

Matchups read Away @ Home. Open every game for the full model read: win probability, paired team ratings, and the grade once it goes final.

Friday, Dec 5

OPENERS CAPTURED WED 3:46 PM ET

Friday, Dec 5 games: opening total, model total, and edge. Cyan-washed rows with a printed lean are badged totals edges.
Game	Open	Model	Edge
Kennesaw State @ Jacksonville State7:00 PM ET · FINAL	58.5	61.7	+3.2OVER
Troy @ James Madison7:00 PM ET · FINAL	47.5	51.7	+4.2OVER
UNLV @ Boise State8:00 PM ET · FINAL	57.5	52.7	-4.8UNDER
North Texas @ Tulane8:00 PM ET · FINAL	66.5	58.8	-7.7UNDER

Saturday, Dec 6

Saturday, Dec 6 games: opening total, model total, and edge. Cyan-washed rows with a printed lean are badged totals edges.
Game	Open	Model	Edge
Miami (OH) @ Western Michigan12:00 PM ET · FINAL	43.5	46.8	+3.3OVER
Duke @ Virginia8:00 PM ET · FINAL	57.5	54.0	-3.5UNDER

Model totals vs the openers. The badge needs 3 points of daylight; win and spread numbers ride along unbadged.