Downfield DataGet the board
WK 15 · 2025FINALOPENER CAPTURED WED 3:46 PM ET

Week 15 · 2025 season

North Texas @ Tulane

The UNDER 66.5 cashed. The full grade is below.

The verdict

FRI, DEC 5 · FINAL · YULMAN STADIUM
North Texas12-267%
Tulane11-333%
UNTNATL RANKTULN
0.3no rank
Overall rating
no rank0.3
0.4no rank
Offense rating
no rank0.2
-0.1no rank
Defense rating
no rank0.1
-1.0no rank
Pace
no rank-2.2
56%no rank
Returning PPA
no rank15%
#2929th
Power rank
31st#31
#112112th
Recruiting rank
74th#74

Cell color follows national rank:top 4091st or worse.

Open total66.5
Model total58.8
EDGE UNDER 66.5 · HIT

RATINGS AS OF: UNT wk 17 · TULN wk 17 · RANKS PRINTED IN EVERY TINTED CELL

Model margin (home)
+0.3
Open spread
+2.8
Close spread
+1.5
Close total
66.5

Graded, all four markets

Every market grades against the close. The edge is the only one we badge as a pick; the other three ride along for calibration.

UNT21
FINALYulman Stadium
TULN34
  • WinNorth TexasWIN MISS
  • ATSTulaneATS HIT
  • TotalsUNDER 66.5TOTAL HIT
  • EdgeUNDER 66.5EDGE HIT
Where these numbers come from

One model scores every FBS game: a win probability, a projected margin, and a projected total, built from as-of team ratings (offense, defense, pace, returning production, recruiting). Ratings on this page are snapshots from the week shown, with zero future information baked in.

The totals edge compares the model's total to the opening number. A gap of 3 or more points earns the badge, and it's the only pick on the card. Win and spread numbers are predictions we publish for the record, unbadged. The ATS lean stays tracked but unbadged: it has never beaten the closing line, even though the model beats the opener by about half a point of line value.

All four markets grade against the closing line once the game goes final. The full ledger lives on the track record.

Back to the week 15 board