The Board

Every game on the slate gets a win probability, a margin, and a total. Cyan rows cleared the 3-point bar against the opening total; those carry the only badge we sell. The rest of the board is the model showing its work.

67Games modeled

18Edges badged

49Passes

Matchups read Away @ Home. Open every game for the full model read: win probability, paired team ratings, and the grade once it goes final.

Tuesday, Nov 25

OPENERS CAPTURED WED 3:46 PM ET

Tuesday, Nov 25 games: opening total, model total, and edge. Cyan-washed rows with a printed lean are badged totals edges.
Game	Open	Model	Edge
Western Michigan @ Eastern Michigan7:30 PM ET · FINAL	46.0	49.3	+3.3OVER

Friday, Nov 28

Friday, Nov 28 games: opening total, model total, and edge. Cyan-washed rows with a printed lean are badged totals edges.
Game	Open	Model	Edge
Ole Miss @ Mississippi State12:00 PM ET · FINAL	61.5	58.4	-3.1UNDER
Air Force @ Colorado State3:00 PM ET · FINAL	49.5	52.5	+3.0OVER
Temple @ North Texas3:30 PM ET · FINAL	65.5	62.5	-3.0UNDER

Saturday, Nov 29

Saturday, Nov 29 games: opening total, model total, and edge. Cyan-washed rows with a printed lean are badged totals edges.
Game	Open	Model	Edge
Clemson @ South Carolina12:00 PM ET · FINAL	50.0	53.1	+3.1OVER
Houston @ Baylor12:00 PM ET · FINAL	61.0	57.1	-3.9UNDER
Ball State @ Miami (OH)12:00 PM ET · FINAL	42.0	46.5	+4.5OVER
Georgia Southern @ Marshall1:30 PM ET · FINAL	61.3	57.8	-3.5UNDER
South Alabama @ Texas State3:00 PM ET · FINAL	63.5	57.6	-5.9UNDER
Boston College @ Syracuse3:00 PM ET · FINAL	53.3	57.0	+3.7OVER
Wisconsin @ Minnesota3:30 PM ET · FINAL	38.0	42.0	+4.0OVER
LSU @ Oklahoma3:30 PM ET · FINAL	38.5	48.8	+10.3OVER
Vanderbilt @ Tennessee3:30 PM ET · FINAL	64.5	56.5	-8.0UNDER
Cincinnati @ TCU3:30 PM ET · FINAL	58.3	51.4	-6.8UNDER
James Madison @ Coastal Carolina3:45 PM ET · FINAL	53.5	62.3	+8.8OVER
Maryland @ Michigan State7:00 PM ET · FINAL	48.0	51.4	+3.4OVER
UCLA @ USC7:30 PM ET · FINAL	61.0	52.7	-8.3UNDER
Fresno State @ San José State10:30 PM ET · FINAL	47.0	53.3	+6.3OVER

Model totals vs the openers. The badge needs 3 points of daylight; win and spread numbers ride along unbadged.