The Board

Every game on the slate gets a win probability, a margin, and a total. Cyan rows cleared the 3-point bar against the opening total; those carry the only badge we sell. The rest of the board is the model showing its work.

52Games modeled

15Edges badged

37Passes

Matchups read Away @ Home. Open every game for the full model read: win probability, paired team ratings, and the grade once it goes final.

Thursday, Nov 6

OPENERS CAPTURED WED 3:46 PM ET

Thursday, Nov 6 games: opening total, model total, and edge. Cyan-washed rows with a printed lean are badged totals edges.
Game	Open	Model	Edge
Georgia Southern @ App State7:30 PM ET · FINAL	62.5	57.0	-5.5UNDER

Friday, Nov 7

Friday, Nov 7 games: opening total, model total, and edge. Cyan-washed rows with a printed lean are badged totals edges.
Game	Open	Model	Edge
Houston @ UCF8:00 PM ET · FINAL	48.0	52.3	+4.3OVER

Saturday, Nov 8

Saturday, Nov 8 games: opening total, model total, and edge. Cyan-washed rows with a printed lean are badged totals edges.
Game	Open	Model	Edge
James Madison @ Marshall12:00 PM ET · FINAL	55.5	60.2	+4.7OVER
Southern Miss @ Arkansas State12:00 PM ET · FINAL	59.5	50.4	-9.1UNDER
Ohio State @ Purdue1:00 PM ET · FINAL	48.5	52.2	+3.7OVER
The Citadel @ Ole Miss1:00 PM ET · FINAL	63.5	60.4	-3.1UNDER
Maryland @ Rutgers2:30 PM ET · FINAL	59.0	54.3	-4.7UNDER
Tulsa @ Florida Atlantic3:00 PM ET · FINAL	65.5	60.8	-4.7UNDER
Syracuse @ Miami3:30 PM ET · FINAL	46.5	51.6	+5.2OVER
Duke @ UConn3:30 PM ET · FINAL	66.5	56.1	-10.4UNDER
Washington @ Wisconsin4:30 PM ET · FINAL	45.5	48.8	+3.3OVER
Stanford @ North Carolina4:30 PM ET · FINAL	43.0	46.2	+3.2OVER
Texas State @ Louisiana5:00 PM ET · FINAL	64.5	55.9	-8.6UNDER
Nebraska @ UCLA9:00 PM ET · FINAL	43.8	47.4	+3.6OVER
UNLV @ Colorado State9:30 PM ET · FINAL	61.5	54.5	-7.0UNDER

Model totals vs the openers. The badge needs 3 points of daylight; win and spread numbers ride along unbadged.