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WK 2 · 2026FINALOPENER CAPTURED SAT 7:02 AM ET

Week 2 · 2026 season

Middle Tennessee @ Marshall

The final score and published grades are below.

The verdict

SAT, SEP 12 · FINAL · JOAN C. EDWARDS STADIUM
Middle Tennessee1-032%
Marshall0-168%
MTSUNATL RANKMRSH
112th
Model Overall
85th
80th
Model Offense
87th
129th
Model Defense
63rd
-2.0
Pace
-0.8
33%
Returning PPA
99%

Color marks the better value in each row.

Open total57.5
Model total54.3

Market cadence

Line movement

Latest: Middle Tennessee +13.25 · No signal

+12+13+14+15+16+17+18+19Open7:02 AMTue3:55 PMWed9:26 PMThu11:02 AMFri11:02 AMSat11:03 AM
  • Edge
  • Lean
  • No signal

Sat, Sep 12, 11:03:07 AM ET

Middle Tennessee line
+13.25
Producer tier
No signal
  • Sat, Sep 5, 7:02:53 AM ET; Middle Tennessee line +17.5; producer tier No signal
  • Tue, Sep 8, 3:55:36 PM ET; Middle Tennessee line +13.5; producer tier No signal
  • Wed, Sep 9, 9:26:03 PM ET; Middle Tennessee line +13.5; producer tier No signal
  • Thu, Sep 10, 11:02:28 AM ET; Middle Tennessee line +13.5; producer tier No signal
  • Fri, Sep 11, 11:02:26 AM ET; Middle Tennessee line +13.5; producer tier No signal
  • Sat, Sep 12, 11:03:07 AM ET; Middle Tennessee line +13.25; producer tier No signal

RATINGS AS OF: MTSU wk 2 · MRSH wk 2

Model margin
Marshall by 7.61
Opening line
Middle Tennessee +17.5
Latest line
Middle Tennessee +12.25
Close total
56.0

Graded model opinions

Every published Lean and Edge grades against its locked selected line. ATS and total results remain independent.

MTSU26
FINALJoan C. Edwards Stadium
MRSH28
  • WinMarshallWIN HIT
Where these numbers come from

One model scores every FBS game: a win probability, a projected margin, and a projected total, built from as-of team ratings (offense, defense, pace, returning production, recruiting). Ratings on this page are snapshots from the week shown, with zero future information baked in.

Leans and Edges use the exact lines published before kickoff. Every published pick is graded.

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