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WK 2 · 2026KICK SAT, SEP 12 7:00 PM ETOPENER CAPTURED MON 7:02 AM ET

Week 2 · 2026 season

Georgia State @ Kennesaw State

Published signal: UNDER 54.5 · EDGE.

The verdict

SAT, SEP 12 · 7:00 PM ET · FIFTH THIRD STADIUM
Georgia State1-046%
Kennesaw State1-054%
GASTNATL RANKKENN
116th
Model Overall
119th
84th
Model Offense
113th
130th
Model Defense
119th
0.7
Pace
-0.2
47%
Returning PPA
6%

Color marks the better value in each row.

Open total50.8
Model total48.9
UNDER 54.5 · EDGE

Market cadence

Line movement

Latest: Georgia State +7.75 · No signal

+7+8+9+10Open7:02 AMTue3:55 PMWed9:26 PMThu11:02 AMFri11:02 AMSatNo data
  • Edge
  • Lean
  • No signal

Fri, Sep 11, 11:02:26 AM ET

Georgia State line
+7.75
Producer tier
No signal
  • Mon, Sep 7, 7:02:34 AM ET; Georgia State line +9.25; producer tier No signal
  • Tue, Sep 8, 3:55:36 PM ET; Georgia State line +9.5; producer tier No signal
  • Wed, Sep 9, 9:26:03 PM ET; Georgia State line +9.5; producer tier No signal
  • Thu, Sep 10, 11:02:28 AM ET; Georgia State line +9.0; producer tier No signal
  • Fri, Sep 11, 11:02:26 AM ET; Georgia State line +7.75; producer tier No signal
  • Sat: no capture.

RATINGS AS OF: GAST wk 2 · KENN wk 2

Model margin
Kennesaw State by 2.71
Opening line
Georgia State +9.25
Latest line
Georgia State +7.75
Close total
54.5
ATS
Georgia State +7.75
Total pick
UNDER 54.5 · EDGE
Where these numbers come from

One model scores every FBS game: a win probability, a projected margin, and a projected total, built from as-of team ratings (offense, defense, pace, returning production, recruiting). Ratings on this page are snapshots from the week shown, with zero future information baked in.

Leans and Edges use the exact lines published before kickoff. Every published pick is graded.

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