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WK 2 · 2026FINALOPENER CAPTURED MON 7:02 AM ET

Week 2 · 2026 season

Georgia State @ Kennesaw State

UNDER 54.5 · EDGE win. The full grades are below.

The verdict

SAT, SEP 12 · FINAL · FIFTH THIRD STADIUM
Georgia State1-046%
Kennesaw State1-054%
GASTNATL RANKKENN
116th
Model Overall
119th
84th
Model Offense
113th
130th
Model Defense
119th
0.7
Pace
-0.2
47%
Returning PPA
6%

Color marks the better value in each row.

Open total50.8
Model total48.9
UNDER 54.5 · EDGE WIN

Market cadence

Line movement

Latest: Georgia State +8.25 · No signal

+7+8+9+10Open7:02 AMTue3:55 PMWed9:26 PMThu11:02 AMFri11:02 AMSat11:03 AM
  • Edge
  • Lean
  • No signal

Sat, Sep 12, 11:03:07 AM ET

Georgia State line
+8.25
Producer tier
No signal
  • Mon, Sep 7, 7:02:34 AM ET; Georgia State line +9.25; producer tier No signal
  • Tue, Sep 8, 3:55:36 PM ET; Georgia State line +9.5; producer tier No signal
  • Wed, Sep 9, 9:26:03 PM ET; Georgia State line +9.5; producer tier No signal
  • Thu, Sep 10, 11:02:28 AM ET; Georgia State line +9.0; producer tier No signal
  • Fri, Sep 11, 11:02:26 AM ET; Georgia State line +7.75; producer tier No signal
  • Sat, Sep 12, 11:03:07 AM ET; Georgia State line +8.25; producer tier No signal

RATINGS AS OF: GAST wk 2 · KENN wk 2

Model margin
Kennesaw State by 2.71
Opening line
Georgia State +9.25
Latest line
Georgia State +7.5
Close total
55.5

Graded model opinions

Every published Lean and Edge grades against its locked selected line. ATS and total results remain independent.

GAST31
FINALFifth Third Stadium
KENN17
  • WinKennesaw StateWIN MISS
  • TotalUNDER 54.5 · EDGEEDGE HIT
Where these numbers come from

One model scores every FBS game: a win probability, a projected margin, and a projected total, built from as-of team ratings (offense, defense, pace, returning production, recruiting). Ratings on this page are snapshots from the week shown, with zero future information baked in.

Leans and Edges use the exact lines published before kickoff. Every published pick is graded.

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