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WK 2 · 2026FINALOPENER CAPTURED MON 7:02 AM ET
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Week 2 · 2026 season

Buffalo @ Florida International

BUFFALO +10 · EDGE loss. The full grades are below.

The verdict

SAT, SEP 12 · FINAL · PITBULL STADIUM
Buffalo1-030%
Florida International0-170%
BUFNATL RANKFIU
111th
Model Overall
99th
125th
Model Offense
106th
77th
Model Defense
93rd
0.6
Pace
-0.2
-1%
Returning PPA
32%

Color marks the better value in each row.

Open total50.0
Model total51.7
BUFFALO +10 · EDGE LOSS

Market cadence

Line movement

Latest: Buffalo +10.0 · EDGE

+9+10+11Open7:02 AMTue3:55 PMWed9:26 PMThu11:02 AMFri11:02 AMSat11:03 AM
  • Edge
  • Lean
  • No signal

Sat, Sep 12, 11:03:07 AM ET

Buffalo line
+10.0
Producer tier
EDGE
  • Mon, Sep 7, 7:02:34 AM ET; Buffalo line +10.25; producer tier EDGE
  • Tue, Sep 8, 3:55:36 PM ET; Buffalo line +10.25; producer tier No signal
  • Wed, Sep 9, 9:26:03 PM ET; Buffalo line +10.25; producer tier EDGE
  • Thu, Sep 10, 11:02:28 AM ET; Buffalo line +10.25; producer tier EDGE
  • Fri, Sep 11, 11:02:26 AM ET; Buffalo line +10.0; producer tier EDGE
  • Sat, Sep 12, 11:03:07 AM ET; Buffalo line +10.0; producer tier EDGE

RATINGS AS OF: BUF wk 2 · FIU wk 2

Model margin
Florida International by 7.32
Opening line
Buffalo +10.25
Latest line
Buffalo +8.75
Close total
47.5

Graded model opinions

Every published Lean and Edge grades against its locked selected line. ATS and total results remain independent.

BUF20
FINALPitbull Stadium
FIU33
  • WinFlorida InternationalWIN HIT
  • ATSBUFFALO +10 · EDGEEDGE MISS
Where these numbers come from

One model scores every FBS game: a win probability, a projected margin, and a projected total, built from as-of team ratings (offense, defense, pace, returning production, recruiting). Ratings on this page are snapshots from the week shown, with zero future information baked in.

Leans and Edges use the exact lines published before kickoff. Every published pick is graded.

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