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WK 2 · 2026FINALOPENER CAPTURED SAT 7:02 AM ET

Week 2 · 2026 season

New Mexico State @ Hawai'i

The final score and published grades are below.

The verdict

SAT, SEP 12 · FINAL · CLARENCE T.C. CHING ATHLETICS COMPLEX
New Mexico State1-128%
Hawai'i0-272%
NMSUNATL RANKHAW
127th
Model Overall
80th
132nd
Model Offense
54th
88th
Model Defense
96th
1.2
Pace
0.2
24%
Returning PPA
65%

Color marks the better value in each row.

Open total51.5
Model total52.1

Market cadence

Line movement

Latest: New Mexico State +7.25 · No signal

+6+7+8+9+10+11+12+13Open7:02 AMTue3:55 PMWed9:26 PMThu11:02 AMFri11:02 AMSat11:03 AM
  • Edge
  • Lean
  • No signal

Sat, Sep 12, 11:03:07 AM ET

New Mexico State line
+7.25
Producer tier
No signal
  • Sat, Sep 5, 7:02:53 AM ET; New Mexico State line +11.5; producer tier No signal
  • Tue, Sep 8, 3:55:36 PM ET; New Mexico State line +8.25; producer tier No signal
  • Wed, Sep 9, 9:26:03 PM ET; New Mexico State line +7.5; producer tier No signal
  • Thu, Sep 10, 11:02:28 AM ET; New Mexico State line +7.5; producer tier No signal
  • Fri, Sep 11, 11:02:26 AM ET; New Mexico State line +7.0; producer tier No signal
  • Sat, Sep 12, 11:03:07 AM ET; New Mexico State line +7.25; producer tier No signal

RATINGS AS OF: NMSU wk 2 · HAW wk 2

Model margin
Hawai'i by 11.23
Opening line
New Mexico State +11.5
Latest line
New Mexico State +7.5
Close total
50.3

Graded model opinions

Every published Lean and Edge grades against its locked selected line. ATS and total results remain independent.

NMSU19
FINALClarence T.C. Ching Athletics Complex
HAW29
  • WinHawai'iWIN HIT
Where these numbers come from

One model scores every FBS game: a win probability, a projected margin, and a projected total, built from as-of team ratings (offense, defense, pace, returning production, recruiting). Ratings on this page are snapshots from the week shown, with zero future information baked in.

Leans and Edges use the exact lines published before kickoff. Every published pick is graded.

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