EAST CAROLINA -7.5 · EDGE loss. The full grades are below.
The verdict
SAT, SEP 12 · FINAL · DOWDY-FICKLEN STADIUM
App State1-043%
East Carolina0-157%
APPNATL RANKECU
123rd
Model Overall
48th
120th
Model Offense
82nd
116th
Model Defense
29th
0.8
Pace
3.7
38%
Returning PPA
14%
Color marks the better value in each row.
Open total56.5
Model total56.0
EAST CAROLINA -7.5 · EDGE LOSS
Market cadence
Line movement
Latest: App State +6.5 · No signal
◆Edge
▲Lean
○No signal
Sat, Sep 12, 11:03:07 AM ET
App State line
+6.5
Producer tier
No signal
Sat, Sep 5, 7:02:53 AM ET; App State line +11.5; producer tier No signal
Tue, Sep 8, 3:55:36 PM ET; App State line +7.5; producer tier No signal
Wed, Sep 9, 9:26:03 PM ET; App State line +7.0; producer tier No signal
Thu, Sep 10, 11:02:28 AM ET; App State line +7.5; producer tier EDGE
Fri, Sep 11, 11:02:26 AM ET; App State line +6.5; producer tier No signal
Sat, Sep 12, 11:03:07 AM ET; App State line +6.5; producer tier No signal
RATINGS AS OF: APP wk 2 · ECU wk 2
Model margin
East Carolina by 10.27
Opening line
App State +11.5
Latest line
App State +6.5
Close total
55.8
Graded model opinions
Every published Lean and Edge grades against its locked selected line. ATS and total results remain independent.
APP27
FINALDowdy-Ficklen Stadium
ECU24
WinEast CarolinaWIN MISS
ATSEAST CAROLINA -7.5 · EDGEEDGE MISS
Where these numbers come from
One model scores every FBS game: a win probability, a projected margin, and a projected total, built from as-of team ratings (offense, defense, pace, returning production, recruiting). Ratings on this page are snapshots from the week shown, with zero future information baked in.
Leans and Edges use the exact lines published before kickoff. Every published pick is graded.
