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WK 2 · 2026FINALOPENER CAPTURED SAT 7:02 AM ET
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Week 2 · 2026 season

Tulsa @ Sam Houston

SAM HOUSTON +13.5 · EDGE win. The full grades are below.

The verdict

SAT, SEP 12 · FINAL · ELLIOTT T. BOWERS STADIUM
Tulsa1-078%
Sam Houston0-122%
TLSANATL RANKSHSU
100th
Model Overall
137th
102nd
Model Offense
133rd
103rd
Model Defense
136th
3.6
Pace
-2.8
41%
Returning PPA
58%

Color marks the better value in each row.

Open total53.5
Model total53.4
SAM HOUSTON +13.5 · EDGE WIN

Market cadence

Line movement

Latest: Tulsa -12.25 · No signal

-15-14-13-12-11-10-9Open7:02 AMTue3:55 PMWed9:26 PMThu11:02 AMFri11:02 AMSat11:03 AM
  • Edge
  • Lean
  • No signal

Sat, Sep 12, 11:03:07 AM ET

Tulsa line
-12.25
Producer tier
No signal
  • Sat, Sep 5, 7:02:53 AM ET; Tulsa line -10.5; producer tier No signal
  • Tue, Sep 8, 3:55:36 PM ET; Tulsa line -14.0; producer tier No signal
  • Wed, Sep 9, 9:26:03 PM ET; Tulsa line -13.75; producer tier EDGE
  • Thu, Sep 10, 11:02:28 AM ET; Tulsa line -13.5; producer tier EDGE
  • Fri, Sep 11, 11:02:26 AM ET; Tulsa line -13.5; producer tier EDGE
  • Sat, Sep 12, 11:03:07 AM ET; Tulsa line -12.25; producer tier No signal

RATINGS AS OF: TLSA wk 2 · SHSU wk 2

Model margin
Tulsa by 10.93
Opening line
Tulsa -10.5
Latest line
Tulsa -12
Close total
51.8

Graded model opinions

Every published Lean and Edge grades against its locked selected line. ATS and total results remain independent.

TLSA23
FINALElliott T. Bowers Stadium
SHSU17
  • WinTulsaWIN HIT
  • ATSSAM HOUSTON +13.5 · EDGEEDGE HIT
Where these numbers come from

One model scores every FBS game: a win probability, a projected margin, and a projected total, built from as-of team ratings (offense, defense, pace, returning production, recruiting). Ratings on this page are snapshots from the week shown, with zero future information baked in.

Leans and Edges use the exact lines published before kickoff. Every published pick is graded.

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