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WK 2 · 2026FINALOPENER CAPTURED MON 7:02 AM ET
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Week 2 · 2026 season

Navy @ Florida Atlantic

NAVY -4 · EDGE loss. The full grades are below.

The verdict

SAT, SEP 12 · FINAL · FAU STADIUM
Navy1-073%
Florida Atlantic0-127%
NAVYNATL RANKFAU
42nd
Model Overall
103rd
49th
Model Offense
79th
36th
Model Defense
124th
-5.0
Pace
3.5
14%
Returning PPA
68%

Color marks the better value in each row.

Open total58.3
Model total55.7
NAVY -4 · EDGE LOSS

Market cadence

Line movement

Latest: Navy -4.0 · EDGE

-7-6-5-4-3Open7:02 AMTue3:55 PMWed9:26 PMThu11:02 AMFri11:02 AMSat11:03 AM
  • Edge
  • Lean
  • No signal

Sat, Sep 12, 11:03:07 AM ET

Navy line
-4.0
Producer tier
EDGE
  • Mon, Sep 7, 7:02:34 AM ET; Navy line -6.0; producer tier No signal
  • Tue, Sep 8, 3:55:36 PM ET; Navy line -4.75; producer tier No signal
  • Wed, Sep 9, 9:26:03 PM ET; Navy line -4.75; producer tier No signal
  • Thu, Sep 10, 11:02:28 AM ET; Navy line -5.25; producer tier EDGE
  • Fri, Sep 11, 11:02:26 AM ET; Navy line -4.75; producer tier No signal
  • Sat, Sep 12, 11:03:07 AM ET; Navy line -4.0; producer tier EDGE

RATINGS AS OF: NAVY wk 2 · FAU wk 2

Model margin
Navy by 8.20
Opening line
Navy -6
Latest line
Navy -4.5
Close total
59.5

Graded model opinions

Every published Lean and Edge grades against its locked selected line. ATS and total results remain independent.

NAVY30
FINALFAU Stadium
FAU38
  • WinNavyWIN MISS
  • ATSNAVY -4 · EDGEEDGE MISS
Where these numbers come from

One model scores every FBS game: a win probability, a projected margin, and a projected total, built from as-of team ratings (offense, defense, pace, returning production, recruiting). Ratings on this page are snapshots from the week shown, with zero future information baked in.

Leans and Edges use the exact lines published before kickoff. Every published pick is graded.

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