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WK 2 · 2026FINALOPENER CAPTURED FRI 4:47 PM ET

Week 2 · 2026 season

South Florida @ Army

OVER 45.5 · EDGE win. The full grades are below.

The verdict

SAT, SEP 12 · FINAL · MICHIE STADIUM
South Florida1-050%
Army1-050%
USFNATL RANKARMY
34th
Model Overall
60th
25th
Model Offense
63rd
51st
Model Defense
53rd
1.6
Pace
-4.2
13%
Returning PPA
80%

Color marks the better value in each row.

Open total52.5
Model total51.1
OVER 45.5 · EDGE WIN

Market cadence

Line movement

Latest: South Florida +3.5 · No signal

+1+2+3+4Open4:47 PMTue3:55 PMWed9:26 PMThu11:02 AMFri11:02 AMSat11:03 AM
  • Edge
  • Lean
  • No signal

Sat, Sep 12, 11:03:07 AM ET

South Florida line
+3.5
Producer tier
No signal
  • Fri, Sep 4, 4:47:53 PM ET; South Florida line +1.5; producer tier No signal
  • Tue, Sep 8, 3:55:36 PM ET; South Florida line +3.5; producer tier No signal
  • Wed, Sep 9, 9:26:03 PM ET; South Florida line +3.5; producer tier No signal
  • Thu, Sep 10, 11:02:28 AM ET; South Florida line +3.5; producer tier No signal
  • Fri, Sep 11, 11:02:26 AM ET; South Florida line +3.5; producer tier No signal
  • Sat, Sep 12, 11:03:07 AM ET; South Florida line +3.5; producer tier No signal

RATINGS AS OF: USF wk 2 · ARMY wk 2

Model margin
South Florida by 2.43
Opening line
South Florida +1.5
Latest line
South Florida +3
Close total
45.5

Graded model opinions

Every published Lean and Edge grades against its locked selected line. ATS and total results remain independent.

USF28
FINALMichie Stadium
ARMY24
  • WinSouth FloridaWIN HIT
  • TotalOVER 45.5 · EDGEEDGE HIT
Where these numbers come from

One model scores every FBS game: a win probability, a projected margin, and a projected total, built from as-of team ratings (offense, defense, pace, returning production, recruiting). Ratings on this page are snapshots from the week shown, with zero future information baked in.

Leans and Edges use the exact lines published before kickoff. Every published pick is graded.

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