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WK 2 · 2026FINALOPENER CAPTURED THU 7:02 AM ET
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Week 2 · 2026 season

Memphis @ Boise State

MEMPHIS +9.25 · EDGE loss. The full grades are below.

The verdict

SAT, SEP 12 · FINAL · ALBERTSONS STADIUM
Memphis2-030%
Boise State0-170%
MEMNATL RANKBOIS
75th
Model Overall
54th
76th
Model Offense
78th
64th
Model Defense
39th
-0.2
Pace
2.6
6%
Returning PPA
66%

Color marks the better value in each row.

Open total55.5
Model total55.8
MEMPHIS +9.25 · EDGE LOSS

Market cadence

Line movement

Latest: Memphis +9.25 · EDGE

+5+6+7+8+9+10Open5:03 PMTue3:55 PMWed9:26 PMThu11:02 AMFri11:02 AMSat11:03 AM
  • Edge
  • Lean
  • No signal

Sat, Sep 12, 11:03:07 AM ET

Memphis line
+9.25
Producer tier
EDGE
  • Fri, Sep 4, 5:03:41 PM ET; Memphis line +6.5; producer tier No signal
  • Tue, Sep 8, 3:55:36 PM ET; Memphis line +9.0; producer tier No signal
  • Wed, Sep 9, 9:26:03 PM ET; Memphis line +9.0; producer tier EDGE
  • Thu, Sep 10, 11:02:28 AM ET; Memphis line +9.0; producer tier EDGE
  • Fri, Sep 11, 11:02:26 AM ET; Memphis line +8.5; producer tier No signal
  • Sat, Sep 12, 11:03:07 AM ET; Memphis line +9.25; producer tier EDGE

RATINGS AS OF: MEM wk 2 · BOIS wk 2

Model margin
Boise State by 6.73
Opening line
Memphis +6.5
Latest line
Memphis +9.25
Close total
54.5

Graded model opinions

Every published Lean and Edge grades against its locked selected line. ATS and total results remain independent.

MEM20
FINALAlbertsons Stadium
BOIS38
  • WinBoise StateWIN HIT
  • ATSMEMPHIS +9.25 · EDGEEDGE MISS
Where these numbers come from

One model scores every FBS game: a win probability, a projected margin, and a projected total, built from as-of team ratings (offense, defense, pace, returning production, recruiting). Ratings on this page are snapshots from the week shown, with zero future information baked in.

Leans and Edges use the exact lines published before kickoff. Every published pick is graded.

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