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WK 2 · 2026FINALOPENER CAPTURED FRI 4:47 PM ET

Week 2 · 2026 season

Maryland @ UConn

OVER 51.75 · EDGE win. The full grades are below.

The verdict

SAT, SEP 12 · FINAL · PRATT & WHITNEY STADIUM
Maryland1-077%
UConn1-023%
MDNATL RANKCONN
71st
Model Overall
92nd
57th
Model Offense
39th
79th
Model Defense
132nd
-1.5
Pace
-2.5
54%
Returning PPA
2%

Color marks the better value in each row.

Open total53.5
Model total57.0
OVER 51.75 · EDGE WIN

Market cadence

Line movement

Latest: Maryland -11.5 · No signal

-14-13-12-11Open4:47 PMTue3:55 PMWed9:26 PMThu11:02 AMFri11:02 AMSat11:03 AM
  • Edge
  • Lean
  • No signal

Sat, Sep 12, 11:03:07 AM ET

Maryland line
-11.5
Producer tier
No signal
  • Fri, Sep 4, 4:47:53 PM ET; Maryland line -12.5; producer tier No signal
  • Tue, Sep 8, 3:55:36 PM ET; Maryland line -12.25; producer tier No signal
  • Wed, Sep 9, 9:26:03 PM ET; Maryland line -12.25; producer tier No signal
  • Thu, Sep 10, 11:02:28 AM ET; Maryland line -12.75; producer tier No signal
  • Fri, Sep 11, 11:02:26 AM ET; Maryland line -11.5; producer tier No signal
  • Sat, Sep 12, 11:03:07 AM ET; Maryland line -11.5; producer tier No signal

RATINGS AS OF: MD wk 2 · CONN wk 2

Model margin
Maryland by 6.96
Opening line
Maryland -12.5
Latest line
Maryland -11.5
Close total
52.5

Graded model opinions

Every published Lean and Edge grades against its locked selected line. ATS and total results remain independent.

MD38
FINALPratt & Whitney Stadium
CONN14
  • WinMarylandWIN HIT
  • TotalOVER 51.75 · EDGEEDGE HIT
Where these numbers come from

One model scores every FBS game: a win probability, a projected margin, and a projected total, built from as-of team ratings (offense, defense, pace, returning production, recruiting). Ratings on this page are snapshots from the week shown, with zero future information baked in.

Leans and Edges use the exact lines published before kickoff. Every published pick is graded.

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