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WK 2 · 2026KICK SAT, SEP 12 7:15 PM ETOPENER CAPTURED THU 7:02 AM ET

Week 2 · 2026 season

San Diego State @ UCLA

Published signal: UNDER 54.75 · EDGE.

The verdict

SAT, SEP 12 · 7:15 PM ET · ROSE BOWL
San Diego State1-047%
UCLA1-053%
SDSUNATL RANKUCLA
61st
Model Overall
73rd
109th
Model Offense
74th
25th
Model Defense
69th
-2.7
Pace
-5.2
99%
Returning PPA
57%

Color marks the better value in each row.

Open total53.0
Model total51.5
UNDER 54.75 · EDGE

Market cadence

Line movement

Latest: San Diego State +12.5 · No signal

+7+8+9+10+11+12+13+14Open5:03 PMTue3:55 PMWed9:26 PMThu11:02 AMFri11:02 AMSatNo data
  • Edge
  • Lean
  • No signal

Fri, Sep 11, 11:02:26 AM ET

San Diego State line
+12.5
Producer tier
No signal
  • Fri, Sep 4, 5:03:41 PM ET; San Diego State line +8.5; producer tier No signal
  • Tue, Sep 8, 3:55:36 PM ET; San Diego State line +11.75; producer tier No signal
  • Wed, Sep 9, 9:26:03 PM ET; San Diego State line +12.0; producer tier LEAN
  • Thu, Sep 10, 11:02:28 AM ET; San Diego State line +12.5; producer tier No signal
  • Fri, Sep 11, 11:02:26 AM ET; San Diego State line +12.5; producer tier No signal
  • Sat: no capture.

RATINGS AS OF: SDSU wk 2 · UCLA wk 2

Model margin
UCLA by 2.31
Opening line
San Diego State +8.5
Latest line
San Diego State +12.5
Close total
54.8
ATS
San Diego State +12.5
Total pick
UNDER 54.75 · EDGE
Where these numbers come from

One model scores every FBS game: a win probability, a projected margin, and a projected total, built from as-of team ratings (offense, defense, pace, returning production, recruiting). Ratings on this page are snapshots from the week shown, with zero future information baked in.

Leans and Edges use the exact lines published before kickoff. Every published pick is graded.

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