SAN DIEGO STATE +12 · LEAN loss; UNDER 54.75 · EDGE win. The full grades are below.
The verdict
SAT, SEP 12 · FINAL · ROSE BOWL
San Diego State1-047%
UCLA1-053%
SDSUNATL RANKUCLA
61st
Model Overall
73rd
109th
Model Offense
74th
25th
Model Defense
69th
-2.7
Pace
-5.2
99%
Returning PPA
57%
Color marks the better value in each row.
Open total53.0
Model total51.5
SAN DIEGO STATE +12 · LEAN LOSSUNDER 54.75 · EDGE WIN
Market cadence
Line movement
Latest: San Diego State +12.75 · No signal
◆Edge
▲Lean
○No signal
Sat, Sep 12, 11:03:07 AM ET
San Diego State line
+12.75
Producer tier
No signal
Fri, Sep 4, 5:03:41 PM ET; San Diego State line +8.5; producer tier No signal
Tue, Sep 8, 3:55:36 PM ET; San Diego State line +11.75; producer tier No signal
Wed, Sep 9, 9:26:03 PM ET; San Diego State line +12.0; producer tier LEAN
Thu, Sep 10, 11:02:28 AM ET; San Diego State line +12.5; producer tier No signal
Fri, Sep 11, 11:02:26 AM ET; San Diego State line +12.5; producer tier No signal
Sat, Sep 12, 11:03:07 AM ET; San Diego State line +12.75; producer tier No signal
RATINGS AS OF: SDSU wk 2 · UCLA wk 2
Model margin
UCLA by 2.31
Opening line
San Diego State +8.5
Latest line
San Diego State +13.5
Close total
53.5
Graded model opinions
Every published Lean and Edge grades against its locked selected line. ATS and total results remain independent.
SDSU10
FINALRose Bowl
UCLA28
WinUCLAWIN HIT
ATSSAN DIEGO STATE +12 · LEANLEAN MISS
TotalUNDER 54.75 · EDGEEDGE HIT
Where these numbers come from
One model scores every FBS game: a win probability, a projected margin, and a projected total, built from as-of team ratings (offense, defense, pace, returning production, recruiting). Ratings on this page are snapshots from the week shown, with zero future information baked in.
Leans and Edges use the exact lines published before kickoff. Every published pick is graded.
