Eastern Michigan @ Michigan State

Published signal: EASTERN MICHIGAN +17.5 · EDGE.

The verdict

SAT, SEP 12 · 3:30 PM ET · SPARTAN STADIUM

Eastern Michigan1-124%

Michigan State1-076%

EMUNATL RANKMSU

89th

Model Overall

58th

59th

Model Offense

45th

115th

Model Defense

62nd

-1.4

Pace

-4.2

72%

Returning PPA

21%

Color marks the better value in each row.

Open total51.5

Model total51.0

EASTERN MICHIGAN +17.5 · EDGE

Market cadence

Line movement

Latest: Eastern Michigan +17.5 · EDGE

Edge
Lean
No signal

Fri, Sep 11, 11:02:26 AM ET

Eastern Michigan line: +17.5
Producer tier: EDGE

Fri, Sep 4, 4:47:53 PM ET; Eastern Michigan line +15.5; producer tier No signal
Tue, Sep 8, 3:55:36 PM ET; Eastern Michigan line +17.25; producer tier No signal
Wed, Sep 9, 9:26:03 PM ET; Eastern Michigan line +17.5; producer tier EDGE
Thu, Sep 10, 11:02:28 AM ET; Eastern Michigan line +17.5; producer tier EDGE
Fri, Sep 11, 11:02:26 AM ET; Eastern Michigan line +17.5; producer tier EDGE
Sat: no capture.

RATINGS AS OF: EMU wk 2 · MSU wk 2

Model margin: Michigan State by 15.01
Opening line: Eastern Michigan +15.5
Latest line: Eastern Michigan +17.5
Close total: 49.8
ATS: EASTERN MICHIGAN +17.5 · EDGE

Where these numbers come from

One model scores every FBS game: a win probability, a projected margin, and a projected total, built from as-of team ratings (offense, defense, pace, returning production, recruiting). Ratings on this page are snapshots from the week shown, with zero future information baked in.

Leans and Edges use the exact lines published before kickoff. Every published pick is graded.

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