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WK 2 · 2026FINALOPENER CAPTURED FRI 4:47 PM ET

Week 2 · 2026 season

Eastern Michigan @ Michigan State

EASTERN MICHIGAN +17.25 · EDGE loss. The full grades are below.

The verdict

SAT, SEP 12 · FINAL · SPARTAN STADIUM
Eastern Michigan1-124%
Michigan State1-076%
EMUNATL RANKMSU
89th
Model Overall
58th
59th
Model Offense
45th
115th
Model Defense
62nd
-1.4
Pace
-4.2
72%
Returning PPA
21%

Color marks the better value in each row.

Open total51.5
Model total51.0
EASTERN MICHIGAN +17.25 · EDGE LOSS

Market cadence

Line movement

Latest: Eastern Michigan +17.25 · EDGE

+15+16+17+18Open4:47 PMTue3:55 PMWed9:26 PMThu11:02 AMFri11:02 AMSat11:03 AM
  • Edge
  • Lean
  • No signal

Sat, Sep 12, 11:03:07 AM ET

Eastern Michigan line
+17.25
Producer tier
EDGE
  • Fri, Sep 4, 4:47:53 PM ET; Eastern Michigan line +15.5; producer tier No signal
  • Tue, Sep 8, 3:55:36 PM ET; Eastern Michigan line +17.25; producer tier No signal
  • Wed, Sep 9, 9:26:03 PM ET; Eastern Michigan line +17.5; producer tier EDGE
  • Thu, Sep 10, 11:02:28 AM ET; Eastern Michigan line +17.5; producer tier EDGE
  • Fri, Sep 11, 11:02:26 AM ET; Eastern Michigan line +17.5; producer tier EDGE
  • Sat, Sep 12, 11:03:07 AM ET; Eastern Michigan line +17.25; producer tier EDGE

RATINGS AS OF: EMU wk 2 · MSU wk 2

Model margin
Michigan State by 15.01
Opening line
Eastern Michigan +15.5
Latest line
Eastern Michigan +17.5
Close total
49.8

Graded model opinions

Every published Lean and Edge grades against its locked selected line. ATS and total results remain independent.

EMU7
FINALSpartan Stadium
MSU35
  • WinMichigan StateWIN HIT
  • ATSEASTERN MICHIGAN +17.25 · EDGEEDGE MISS
Where these numbers come from

One model scores every FBS game: a win probability, a projected margin, and a projected total, built from as-of team ratings (offense, defense, pace, returning production, recruiting). Ratings on this page are snapshots from the week shown, with zero future information baked in.

Leans and Edges use the exact lines published before kickoff. Every published pick is graded.

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