Downfield DataGet the board
WK 2 · 2026KICK SAT, SEP 12 7:30 PM ETOPENER CAPTURED SAT 7:02 AM ET

Week 2 · 2026 season

AP rank 13Texas Tech @ Oregon State

Published signal: UNDER 53.5 · EDGE.

The verdict

SAT, SEP 12 · 7:30 PM ET · RESER STADIUM
Texas Tech1-098%
Oregon State0-12%
TTUNATL RANKORST
4th
Model Overall
118th
33rd
Model Offense
126th
1st
Model Defense
86th
4.5
Pace
0.2
53%
Returning PPA
58%

Color marks the better value in each row.

Open total49.5
Model total49.1
UNDER 53.5 · EDGE

Market cadence

Line movement

Latest: Texas Tech -26.25 · No signal

-28-27-26-25Open7:02 AMTue3:55 PMWed9:26 PMThu11:02 AMFri11:02 AMSatNo data
  • Edge
  • Lean
  • No signal

Fri, Sep 11, 11:02:26 AM ET

Texas Tech line
-26.25
Producer tier
No signal
  • Sat, Sep 5, 7:02:53 AM ET; Texas Tech line -27.5; producer tier No signal
  • Tue, Sep 8, 3:55:36 PM ET; Texas Tech line -26.75; producer tier No signal
  • Wed, Sep 9, 9:26:03 PM ET; Texas Tech line -26.75; producer tier No signal
  • Thu, Sep 10, 11:02:28 AM ET; Texas Tech line -26.25; producer tier No signal
  • Fri, Sep 11, 11:02:26 AM ET; Texas Tech line -26.25; producer tier No signal
  • Sat: no capture.

RATINGS AS OF: TTU wk 2 · ORST wk 2

Model margin
Texas Tech by 24.94
Opening line
Texas Tech -27.5
Latest line
Texas Tech -26.25
Close total
53.5
ATS
Oregon State +26.25
Total pick
UNDER 53.5 · EDGE
Where these numbers come from

One model scores every FBS game: a win probability, a projected margin, and a projected total, built from as-of team ratings (offense, defense, pace, returning production, recruiting). Ratings on this page are snapshots from the week shown, with zero future information baked in.

Leans and Edges use the exact lines published before kickoff. Every published pick is graded.

Back to the week 2 board