UNDER 57.25 · EDGE loss. The full grades are below.
The verdict
SAT, SEP 12 · FINAL · BOONE PICKENS STADIUM
Oregon1-098%
Oklahoma State0-12%
ORENATL RANKOKST
9th
Model Overall
107th
8th
Model Offense
116th
16th
Model Defense
91st
-2.5
Pace
-3.2
75%
Returning PPA
0%
Color marks the better value in each row.
Open total60.5
Model total54.0
UNDER 57.25 · EDGE LOSS
Market cadence
Line movement
Latest: Oregon -23.5 · No signal
◆Edge
▲Lean
○No signal
Sat, Sep 12, 11:03:07 AM ET
Oregon line
-23.5
Producer tier
No signal
Fri, Sep 4, 5:03:41 PM ET; Oregon line -18.5; producer tier No signal
Tue, Sep 8, 3:55:36 PM ET; Oregon line -22.5; producer tier No signal
Wed, Sep 9, 9:26:03 PM ET; Oregon line -22.75; producer tier No signal
Thu, Sep 10, 11:02:28 AM ET; Oregon line -23.5; producer tier No signal
Fri, Sep 11, 11:02:26 AM ET; Oregon line -23.25; producer tier No signal
Sat, Sep 12, 11:03:07 AM ET; Oregon line -23.5; producer tier No signal
RATINGS AS OF: ORE wk 2 · OKST wk 2
Model margin
Oregon by 23.80
Opening line
Oregon -18.5
Latest line
Oregon -24.25
Close total
55.5
Graded model opinions
Every published Lean and Edge grades against its locked selected line. ATS and total results remain independent.
ORE31
FINALBoone Pickens Stadium
OKST39
WinOregonWIN MISS
TotalUNDER 57.25 · EDGEEDGE MISS
Where these numbers come from
One model scores every FBS game: a win probability, a projected margin, and a projected total, built from as-of team ratings (offense, defense, pace, returning production, recruiting). Ratings on this page are snapshots from the week shown, with zero future information baked in.
Leans and Edges use the exact lines published before kickoff. Every published pick is graded.