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WK 2 · 2026KICK SAT, SEP 12 7:30 PM ETOPENER CAPTURED THU 1:15 PM ET

Week 2 · 2026 season

AP rank 1Ohio State @ AP rank 4Texas

No qualified market signals were published. An informational ATS opinion may appear with the current line.

The verdict

SAT, SEP 12 · 7:30 PM ET · DKR-TEXAS MEMORIAL STADIUM
Ohio State1-059%
Texas1-041%
OSUNATL RANKTEX
5th
Model Overall
15th
9th
Model Offense
11th
3rd
Model Defense
33rd
-4.8
Pace
-2.8
68%
Returning PPA
72%

Color marks the better value in each row.

Open total47.5
Model total49.9

Market cadence

Line movement

Latest: Ohio State +1.5 · No signal

+1+2+3Open5:03 PMTue3:55 PMWed9:26 PMThu11:02 AMFri11:02 AMSatNo data
  • Edge
  • Lean
  • No signal

Fri, Sep 11, 11:02:26 AM ET

Ohio State line
+1.5
Producer tier
No signal
  • Fri, Sep 4, 5:03:41 PM ET; Ohio State line +2.0; producer tier EDGE
  • Tue, Sep 8, 3:55:36 PM ET; Ohio State line +1.75; producer tier No signal
  • Wed, Sep 9, 9:26:03 PM ET; Ohio State line +1.75; producer tier No signal
  • Thu, Sep 10, 11:02:28 AM ET; Ohio State line +1.75; producer tier No signal
  • Fri, Sep 11, 11:02:26 AM ET; Ohio State line +1.5; producer tier No signal
  • Sat: no capture.

RATINGS AS OF: OSU wk 2 · TEX wk 2

Model margin
Ohio State by 1.62
Opening line
Ohio State +2
Latest line
Ohio State +1.5
Close total
49.5
ATS
Ohio State +1.5
Where these numbers come from

One model scores every FBS game: a win probability, a projected margin, and a projected total, built from as-of team ratings (offense, defense, pace, returning production, recruiting). Ratings on this page are snapshots from the week shown, with zero future information baked in.

Leans and Edges use the exact lines published before kickoff. Every published pick is graded.

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