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WK 2 · 2026FINALOPENER CAPTURED THU 1:15 PM ET
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Week 2 · 2026 season

Oklahoma @ Michigan

OVER 43.5 · EDGE loss. The full grades are below.

The verdict

SAT, SEP 12 · FINAL · MICHIGAN STADIUM
Oklahoma1-068%
Michigan1-032%
OUNATL RANKMICH
17th
Model Overall
56th
62nd
Model Offense
60th
4th
Model Defense
52nd
-1.3
Pace
-3.0
63%
Returning PPA
69%

Color marks the better value in each row.

Open total46.0
Model total49.5
OVER 43.5 · EDGE LOSS

Market cadence

Line movement

Latest: Oklahoma -5.0 · No signal

-7-6-5-4-3-2-10+1+2+3Open5:03 PMTue3:55 PMWed9:26 PMThu11:02 AMFri11:02 AMSat11:03 AM
  • Edge
  • Lean
  • No signal

Sat, Sep 12, 11:03:07 AM ET

Oklahoma line
-5.0
Producer tier
No signal
  • Fri, Sep 4, 5:03:41 PM ET; Oklahoma line +1.5; producer tier EDGE
  • Tue, Sep 8, 3:55:36 PM ET; Oklahoma line -5.5; producer tier No signal
  • Wed, Sep 9, 9:26:03 PM ET; Oklahoma line -5.5; producer tier No signal
  • Thu, Sep 10, 11:02:28 AM ET; Oklahoma line -5.5; producer tier No signal
  • Fri, Sep 11, 11:02:26 AM ET; Oklahoma line -5.25; producer tier No signal
  • Sat, Sep 12, 11:03:07 AM ET; Oklahoma line -5.0; producer tier No signal

RATINGS AS OF: OU wk 2 · MICH wk 2

Model margin
Oklahoma by 6.31
Opening line
Oklahoma +1.5
Latest line
Oklahoma -5
Close total
43.5

Graded model opinions

Every published Lean and Edge grades against its locked selected line. ATS and total results remain independent.

OU10
FINALMichigan Stadium
MICH17
  • WinOklahomaWIN MISS
  • TotalOVER 43.5 · EDGEEDGE MISS
Where these numbers come from

One model scores every FBS game: a win probability, a projected margin, and a projected total, built from as-of team ratings (offense, defense, pace, returning production, recruiting). Ratings on this page are snapshots from the week shown, with zero future information baked in.

Leans and Edges use the exact lines published before kickoff. Every published pick is graded.

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