MISSISSIPPI STATE +1.25 · EDGE win. The full grades are below.
The verdict
SAT, SEP 12 · FINAL · HUNTINGTON BANK STADIUM
Mississippi State1-055%
Minnesota1-045%
MSSTNATL RANKMINN
72nd
Model Overall
81st
55th
Model Offense
73rd
80th
Model Defense
82nd
1.9
Pace
-7.2
34%
Returning PPA
65%
Color marks the better value in each row.
Open total55.5
Model total55.5
MISSISSIPPI STATE +1.25 · EDGE WIN
Market cadence
Line movement
Latest: Mississippi State -1.25 · No signal
◆Edge
▲Lean
○No signal
Sat, Sep 12, 11:03:07 AM ET
Mississippi State line
-1.25
Producer tier
No signal
Fri, Sep 4, 5:03:41 PM ET; Mississippi State line +2.5; producer tier EDGE
Tue, Sep 8, 3:55:36 PM ET; Mississippi State line -0.25; producer tier No signal
Wed, Sep 9, 9:26:03 PM ET; Mississippi State line -0.25; producer tier EDGE
Thu, Sep 10, 11:02:28 AM ET; Mississippi State line +1.25; producer tier EDGE
Fri, Sep 11, 11:02:26 AM ET; Mississippi State line -1.25; producer tier No signal
Sat, Sep 12, 11:03:07 AM ET; Mississippi State line -1.25; producer tier No signal
RATINGS AS OF: MSST wk 2 · MINN wk 2
Model margin
Mississippi State by 2.72
Opening line
Mississippi State +2.5
Latest line
Mississippi State -0.25
Close total
53.5
Graded model opinions
Every published Lean and Edge grades against its locked selected line. ATS and total results remain independent.
MSST38
FINALHuntington Bank Stadium
MINN13
WinMississippi StateWIN HIT
ATSMISSISSIPPI STATE +1.25 · EDGEEDGE HIT
Where these numbers come from
One model scores every FBS game: a win probability, a projected margin, and a projected total, built from as-of team ratings (offense, defense, pace, returning production, recruiting). Ratings on this page are snapshots from the week shown, with zero future information baked in.
Leans and Edges use the exact lines published before kickoff. Every published pick is graded.
