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WK 2 · 2026KICK SAT, SEP 12 3:30 PM ETOPENER CAPTURED THU 7:02 AM ET

Week 2 · 2026 season

Mississippi State @ Minnesota

No qualified market signals were published. An informational ATS opinion may appear with the current line.

The verdict

SAT, SEP 12 · 3:30 PM ET · HUNTINGTON BANK STADIUM
Mississippi State1-055%
Minnesota1-045%
MSSTNATL RANKMINN
72nd
Model Overall
81st
55th
Model Offense
73rd
80th
Model Defense
82nd
1.9
Pace
-7.2
34%
Returning PPA
65%

Color marks the better value in each row.

Open total55.5
Model total55.5

Market cadence

Line movement

Latest: Mississippi State -1.25 · No signal

-2-10+1+2+3+4Open5:03 PMTue3:55 PMWed9:26 PMThu11:02 AMFri11:02 AMSatNo data
  • Edge
  • Lean
  • No signal

Fri, Sep 11, 11:02:26 AM ET

Mississippi State line
-1.25
Producer tier
No signal
  • Fri, Sep 4, 5:03:41 PM ET; Mississippi State line +2.5; producer tier EDGE
  • Tue, Sep 8, 3:55:36 PM ET; Mississippi State line -0.25; producer tier No signal
  • Wed, Sep 9, 9:26:03 PM ET; Mississippi State line -0.25; producer tier EDGE
  • Thu, Sep 10, 11:02:28 AM ET; Mississippi State line +1.25; producer tier EDGE
  • Fri, Sep 11, 11:02:26 AM ET; Mississippi State line -1.25; producer tier No signal
  • Sat: no capture.

RATINGS AS OF: MSST wk 2 · MINN wk 2

Model margin
Mississippi State by 2.77
Opening line
Mississippi State +2.5
Latest line
Mississippi State -1.25
Close total
54.8
ATS
Mississippi State -1.25
Where these numbers come from

One model scores every FBS game: a win probability, a projected margin, and a projected total, built from as-of team ratings (offense, defense, pace, returning production, recruiting). Ratings on this page are snapshots from the week shown, with zero future information baked in.

Leans and Edges use the exact lines published before kickoff. Every published pick is graded.

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