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WK 2 · 2026FINALOPENER CAPTURED THU 7:02 AM ET
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Week 2 · 2026 season

Alabama @ Kentucky

The final score and published grades are below.

The verdict

SAT, SEP 12 · FINAL · KROGER FIELD
Alabama1-075%
Kentucky1-025%
ALANATL RANKUK
21st
Model Overall
84th
44th
Model Offense
91st
15th
Model Defense
59th
-3.7
Pace
-3.5
26%
Returning PPA
19%

Color marks the better value in each row.

Open total49.0
Model total48.5

Market cadence

Line movement

Latest: Alabama -10.0 · No signal

-11-10-9Open5:03 PMTue3:55 PMWed9:26 PMThu11:02 AMFri11:02 AMSat11:03 AM
  • Edge
  • Lean
  • No signal

Sat, Sep 12, 11:03:07 AM ET

Alabama line
-10.0
Producer tier
No signal
  • Fri, Sep 4, 5:03:41 PM ET; Alabama line -10.5; producer tier No signal
  • Tue, Sep 8, 3:55:36 PM ET; Alabama line -10.5; producer tier No signal
  • Wed, Sep 9, 9:26:03 PM ET; Alabama line -10.5; producer tier No signal
  • Thu, Sep 10, 11:02:28 AM ET; Alabama line -10.5; producer tier No signal
  • Fri, Sep 11, 11:02:26 AM ET; Alabama line -10.0; producer tier No signal
  • Sat, Sep 12, 11:03:07 AM ET; Alabama line -10.0; producer tier No signal

RATINGS AS OF: ALA wk 2 · UK wk 2

Model margin
Alabama by 11.17
Opening line
Alabama -10.5
Latest line
Alabama -8.75
Close total
47.3

Graded model opinions

Every published Lean and Edge grades against its locked selected line. ATS and total results remain independent.

ALA45
FINALKroger Field
UK17
  • WinAlabamaWIN HIT
Where these numbers come from

One model scores every FBS game: a win probability, a projected margin, and a projected total, built from as-of team ratings (offense, defense, pace, returning production, recruiting). Ratings on this page are snapshots from the week shown, with zero future information baked in.

Leans and Edges use the exact lines published before kickoff. Every published pick is graded.

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