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WK 2 · 2026KICK SAT, SEP 12 10:15 PM ETOPENER CAPTURED THU 1:15 PM ET

Week 2 · 2026 season

Arkansas @ AP rank 20Utah

Published signals: UTAH -12.5 · EDGE; OVER 55.25 · EDGE.

The verdict

SAT, SEP 12 · 10:15 PM ET · RICE-ECCLES STADIUM
Arkansas1-07%
Utah1-093%
ARKNATL RANKUTAH
39th
Model Overall
12th
10th
Model Offense
6th
81st
Model Defense
41st
-2.5
Pace
0.6
14%
Returning PPA
68%

Color marks the better value in each row.

Open total54.5
Model total59.2
UTAH -12.5 · EDGEOVER 55.25 · EDGE

Market cadence

Line movement

Latest: Arkansas +12.5 · EDGE

+8+9+10+11+12+13+14Open5:03 PMTue3:55 PMWed9:26 PMThu11:02 AMFri11:02 AMSatNo data
  • Edge
  • Lean
  • No signal

Fri, Sep 11, 11:02:26 AM ET

Arkansas line
+12.5
Producer tier
EDGE
  • Fri, Sep 4, 5:03:41 PM ET; Arkansas line +9.5; producer tier No signal
  • Tue, Sep 8, 3:55:36 PM ET; Arkansas line +12.25; producer tier No signal
  • Wed, Sep 9, 9:26:03 PM ET; Arkansas line +12.5; producer tier EDGE
  • Thu, Sep 10, 11:02:28 AM ET; Arkansas line +12.75; producer tier No signal
  • Fri, Sep 11, 11:02:26 AM ET; Arkansas line +12.5; producer tier EDGE
  • Sat: no capture.

RATINGS AS OF: ARK wk 2 · UTAH wk 2

Model margin
Utah by 14.71
Opening line
Arkansas +9.5
Latest line
Arkansas +12.5
Close total
55.3
ATS
UTAH -12.5 · EDGE
Total pick
OVER 55.25 · EDGE
Where these numbers come from

One model scores every FBS game: a win probability, a projected margin, and a projected total, built from as-of team ratings (offense, defense, pace, returning production, recruiting). Ratings on this page are snapshots from the week shown, with zero future information baked in.

Leans and Edges use the exact lines published before kickoff. Every published pick is graded.

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