Downfield DataGamesGet the board
WK 2 · 2026FINALOPENER CAPTURED THU 1:15 PM ET

Week 2 · 2026 season

Arkansas @ AP rank 20Utah

UTAH -12.5 · EDGE win; OVER 55.5 · EDGE loss. The full grades are below.

The verdict

SAT, SEP 12 · FINAL · RICE-ECCLES STADIUM
Arkansas1-07%
Utah1-093%
ARKNATL RANKUTAH
39th
Model Overall
12th
10th
Model Offense
6th
81st
Model Defense
41st
-2.5
Pace
0.6
14%
Returning PPA
68%

Color marks the better value in each row.

Open total54.5
Model total59.2
UTAH -12.5 · EDGE WINOVER 55.5 · EDGE LOSS

Market cadence

Line movement

Latest: Arkansas +12.5 · EDGE

+8+9+10+11+12+13+14Open5:03 PMTue3:55 PMWed9:26 PMThu11:02 AMFri11:02 AMSat11:03 AM
  • Edge
  • Lean
  • No signal

Sat, Sep 12, 11:03:07 AM ET

Arkansas line
+12.5
Producer tier
EDGE
  • Fri, Sep 4, 5:03:41 PM ET; Arkansas line +9.5; producer tier No signal
  • Tue, Sep 8, 3:55:36 PM ET; Arkansas line +12.25; producer tier No signal
  • Wed, Sep 9, 9:26:03 PM ET; Arkansas line +12.5; producer tier EDGE
  • Thu, Sep 10, 11:02:28 AM ET; Arkansas line +12.75; producer tier No signal
  • Fri, Sep 11, 11:02:26 AM ET; Arkansas line +12.5; producer tier EDGE
  • Sat, Sep 12, 11:03:07 AM ET; Arkansas line +12.5; producer tier EDGE

RATINGS AS OF: ARK wk 2 · UTAH wk 2

Model margin
Utah by 14.71
Opening line
Arkansas +9.5
Latest line
Arkansas +13
Close total
55.5

Graded model opinions

Every published Lean and Edge grades against its locked selected line. ATS and total results remain independent.

ARK10
FINALRice-Eccles Stadium
UTAH43
  • WinUtahWIN HIT
  • ATSUTAH -12.5 · EDGEEDGE HIT
  • TotalOVER 55.5 · EDGEEDGE MISS
Where these numbers come from

One model scores every FBS game: a win probability, a projected margin, and a projected total, built from as-of team ratings (offense, defense, pace, returning production, recruiting). Ratings on this page are snapshots from the week shown, with zero future information baked in.

Leans and Edges use the exact lines published before kickoff. Every published pick is graded.

Back to the week 2 board