APP STATE -1.5 · EDGE win; OVER 48.5 · EDGE win. The full grades are below.
The verdict
FRI, OCT 16 · FINAL · BROOKS STADIUM (SC)
App State3-260%
Coastal Carolina2-440%
APPNATL RANKCCU
123rd
Model Overall
129th
120th
Model Offense
123rd
116th
Model Defense
112th
0.8
Pace
-1.5
38%
Returning PPA
15%
Color marks the better value in each row.
Open total51.8
Model total51.8
APP STATE -1.5 · EDGE WINOVER 48.5 · EDGE WIN
Market cadence
Line movement
Latest: App State -1.5 · EDGE
◆Edge
▲Lean
○No signal
Fri, Oct 16, 11:03:04 AM ET
App State line
-1.5
Producer tier
EDGE
Tue, Oct 13, 11:03:28 AM ET; App State line -1.25; producer tier EDGE
Tue, Oct 13, 11:03:28 AM ET; App State line -1.5; producer tier EDGE
Wed, Oct 14, 11:03:17 AM ET; App State line -1.5; producer tier EDGE
Thu, Oct 15, 11:02:56 AM ET; App State line -1.25; producer tier EDGE
Fri, Oct 16, 11:03:04 AM ET; App State line -1.5; producer tier EDGE
Sat: no capture.
RATINGS AS OF: APP wk 7 · CCU wk 7
Model margin
App State by 4.07
Opening line
App State -1.25
Latest line
App State -1.25
Close total
48.8
Graded model opinions
Every published Lean and Edge grades against its locked selected line. ATS and total results remain independent.
APP35
FINALBrooks Stadium (SC)
CCU32
WinApp StateWIN HIT
ATSAPP STATE -1.5 · EDGEEDGE HIT
TotalOVER 48.5 · EDGEEDGE HIT
Where these numbers come from
One model scores every FBS game: a win probability, a projected margin, and a projected total, built from as-of team ratings (offense, defense, pace, returning production, recruiting). Ratings on this page are snapshots from the week shown, with zero future information baked in.
Leans and Edges use the exact lines published before kickoff. Every published pick is graded.
