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WK 3 · 2026FINALOPENER CAPTURED MON 8:35 AM ET

Week 3 · 2026 season

Louisiana Tech @ Baylor

LOUISIANA TECH +20.25 · EDGE win; OVER 49.5 · EDGE win. The full grades are below.

The verdict

SAT, SEP 19 · FINAL · MCLANE STADIUM
Louisiana Tech1-114%
Baylor1-186%
LTNATL RANKBAY
97th
Model Overall
65th
111th
Model Offense
50th
83rd
Model Defense
66th
-2.1
Pace
4.5
64%
Returning PPA
60%

Color marks the better value in each row.

Open total55.3
Model total56.3
LOUISIANA TECH +20.25 · EDGE WINOVER 49.5 · EDGE WIN

Market cadence

Line movement

Latest: Louisiana Tech +19.75 · No signal

+17+18+19+20+21Open8:35 AMTue11:02 AMWed11:02 AMThu11:02 AMFri11:02 AMSat11:03 AM
  • Edge
  • Lean
  • No signal

Sat, Sep 19, 11:03:28 AM ET

Louisiana Tech line
+19.75
Producer tier
No signal
  • Mon, Sep 14, 8:35:15 AM ET; Louisiana Tech line +18.25; producer tier No signal
  • Tue, Sep 15, 11:02:28 AM ET; Louisiana Tech line +19.5; producer tier No signal
  • Wed, Sep 16, 11:02:15 AM ET; Louisiana Tech line +19.25; producer tier No signal
  • Thu, Sep 17, 11:02:43 AM ET; Louisiana Tech line +19.75; producer tier No signal
  • Fri, Sep 18, 11:02:12 AM ET; Louisiana Tech line +20.25; producer tier EDGE
  • Sat, Sep 19, 11:03:28 AM ET; Louisiana Tech line +19.75; producer tier No signal

RATINGS AS OF: LT wk 3 · BAY wk 3

Model margin
Baylor by 16.02
Opening line
Louisiana Tech +18.25
Latest line
Louisiana Tech +20.25
Close total
50.3

Graded model opinions

Every published Lean and Edge grades against its locked selected line. ATS and total results remain independent.

LT19
FINALMcLane Stadium
BAY36
  • WinBaylorWIN HIT
  • ATSLOUISIANA TECH +20.25 · EDGEEDGE HIT
  • TotalOVER 49.5 · EDGEEDGE HIT
Where these numbers come from

One model scores every FBS game: a win probability, a projected margin, and a projected total, built from as-of team ratings (offense, defense, pace, returning production, recruiting). Ratings on this page are snapshots from the week shown, with zero future information baked in.

Leans and Edges use the exact lines published before kickoff. Every published pick is graded.

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