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WK 7 · 2026FINALOPENER CAPTURED TUE 11:03 AM ET
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Week 7 · 2026 season

Toledo @ Eastern Michigan

The final score and published grades are below.

The verdict

SAT, OCT 17 · FINAL · RYNEARSON STADIUM
Toledo4-275%
Eastern Michigan4-325%
TOLNATL RANKEMU
31st
Model Overall
89th
61st
Model Offense
59th
19th
Model Defense
115th
-2.5
Pace
-1.4
66%
Returning PPA
72%

Color marks the better value in each row.

Open total52.8
Model total50.7

Market cadence

Line movement

Latest: Toledo -7.0 · No signal

-8-7-6-5Open11:03 AMTue11:03 AMWed11:03 AMThu11:02 AMFri11:03 AMSat11:04 AM
  • Edge
  • Lean
  • No signal

Sat, Oct 17, 11:04:55 AM ET

Toledo line
-7.0
Producer tier
No signal
  • Tue, Oct 13, 11:03:28 AM ET; Toledo line -5.75; producer tier No signal
  • Tue, Oct 13, 11:03:28 AM ET; Toledo line -6.5; producer tier No signal
  • Wed, Oct 14, 11:03:17 AM ET; Toledo line -6.5; producer tier No signal
  • Thu, Oct 15, 11:02:56 AM ET; Toledo line -6.5; producer tier No signal
  • Fri, Oct 16, 11:03:04 AM ET; Toledo line -6.5; producer tier No signal
  • Sat, Oct 17, 11:04:55 AM ET; Toledo line -7.0; producer tier No signal

RATINGS AS OF: TOL wk 7 · EMU wk 7

Model margin
Toledo by 7.01
Opening line
Toledo -5.75
Latest line
Toledo -7.25
Close total
52.3

Graded model opinions

Every published Lean and Edge grades against its locked selected line. ATS and total results remain independent.

TOL34
FINALRynearson Stadium
EMU14
  • WinToledoWIN HIT
Where these numbers come from

One model scores every FBS game: a win probability, a projected margin, and a projected total, built from as-of team ratings (offense, defense, pace, returning production, recruiting). Ratings on this page are snapshots from the week shown, with zero future information baked in.

Leans and Edges use the exact lines published before kickoff. Every published pick is graded.

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