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WK 7 · 2026FINALOPENER CAPTURED TUE 11:03 AM ET

Week 7 · 2026 season

Ball State @ Bowling Green

OVER 46.5 · EDGE win. The full grades are below.

The verdict

SAT, OCT 17 · FINAL · DOYT L. PERRY STADIUM
Ball State1-528%
Bowling Green2-472%
BALLNATL RANKBGSU
131st
Model Overall
133rd
134th
Model Offense
135th
99th
Model Defense
106th
-4.7
Pace
-3.9
6%
Returning PPA
-6%

Color marks the better value in each row.

Open total44.8
Model total48.1
OVER 46.5 · EDGE WIN

Market cadence

Line movement

Latest: Ball State +6.5 · No signal

+6+7+8+9Open11:03 AMTue11:03 AMWed11:03 AMThu11:02 AMFri11:03 AMSat11:04 AM
  • Edge
  • Lean
  • No signal

Sat, Oct 17, 11:04:55 AM ET

Ball State line
+6.5
Producer tier
No signal
  • Tue, Oct 13, 11:03:28 AM ET; Ball State line +7.75; producer tier No signal
  • Tue, Oct 13, 11:03:28 AM ET; Ball State line +6.5; producer tier No signal
  • Wed, Oct 14, 11:03:17 AM ET; Ball State line +6.5; producer tier No signal
  • Thu, Oct 15, 11:02:56 AM ET; Ball State line +6.5; producer tier No signal
  • Fri, Oct 16, 11:03:04 AM ET; Ball State line +6.5; producer tier No signal
  • Sat, Oct 17, 11:04:55 AM ET; Ball State line +6.5; producer tier No signal

RATINGS AS OF: BALL wk 7 · BGSU wk 7

Model margin
Bowling Green by 9.46
Opening line
Ball State +7.75
Latest line
Ball State +6.25
Close total
46.5

Graded model opinions

Every published Lean and Edge grades against its locked selected line. ATS and total results remain independent.

BALL32
FINALDoyt L. Perry Stadium
BGSU31
  • WinBowling GreenWIN MISS
  • TotalOVER 46.5 · EDGEEDGE HIT
Where these numbers come from

One model scores every FBS game: a win probability, a projected margin, and a projected total, built from as-of team ratings (offense, defense, pace, returning production, recruiting). Ratings on this page are snapshots from the week shown, with zero future information baked in.

Leans and Edges use the exact lines published before kickoff. Every published pick is graded.

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